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Nic Ladds 22nd Mar 2009 - 14:07

Rampant Nadal can gain revenge on Murray

Andy Murray is available at odds of 6/5 to see off the challenge of world number 1 seed Rafael Nadal who is 4/6 in the betting.

Murray once again got the better of Roger Federer in the semi-finals to give himself an impressive 6-2 head-to-head record against the world number 2.

Nadal meanwhile saw off Andy Roddick in straight sets and now fully-fit will pose Murray a lot more problems than the last time these two met.

Head-to-head, 'Rafa' holds a 5-2 lead over Murray but the Scotsman has won the last two encounters between these two although Nadal was carrying an injury when these two met in Rotterdam.

This should be a much closer affair and all three sets may well be required to decide it which suggests either 2-1 Nadal at odds of 11/4 or 2-1 to Murray at 10/3 are more likely than 2-0 Nadal at 7/4 or 2-0 Murray at 3/1 in the betting.

Thinking along this train of thought, betting on there being three sets in the match at 11/10 appeals more than there being two sets at 4/6.

The total match games is set at 23.5 games and both over and under are at 5/6. If, as expected this is close then the overs look to be the bet, but if you think either player will finish the job in two sets then the unders will be the call.

Nadal will be looking to regain the Indian Wells title that he won in 2007 and the way he is playing at the moment Murray will have to be at his very best to stop the Spaniard in his tracks.

Murray has had the better of recent encounters but a rampant, fit Nadal, in familiar territory may just be too much this time for the Scotsman to handle.

Recommendation:
Nadal to win 2-1 - 11/4

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