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Rupert Wyman 5th Jul 2010 - 14:05

Spain were on a high but here comes the Loew!

Spain play Germany on Wednesday in what is a repeat of the Euro 2008 final. Whoever wins this match will almost definitely emerge as the favourites to take the much coveted trophy home.

Much has changed since the Euro 2008 final, Klinsmann's industrious German side has been altered and although they were fantastic under his leadership, the team has shredded its workman image.

They work hard at the back but they are very creative and skilful in attack and have been by far the most dangerous side on the counter attack all tournament. They play at a phenomenal speed and have embarrassed both Argentina and England in recent weeks.

The manager Loew has brought world class performances out of some players who have looked disinterested at club level and not been in good form. They will be without the banned Thomas Muller, his suspension is a big blow as he has scored four times so far this tournament.

Germany are 19/10 for the win in ninety minutes, the draw is 21/10 and Spain are 6/4.

Germany are 10/11 to qualify and I fancy them to reach the final ahead of Spain. Defensively Friedrich and Mertesacker can deal with the threat of Villa and Torres. Upfront, Klose is the key player for Germany, he sits at the top of their formation, holds the ball phenomenally well and feeds the likes of Ozil on the break.

He is 7/4 to score anytime and equal Ronaldo's fifteen goal World Cup record.  He has scored three goals in four and a half appearances and is a completely different player to the one struggling to cope with Bayern's style of play.

In the Miroslav Klose specials, he is 8/1 to score two or more goals and break the record, with the value being that the bet also allows for extra time.

When Spain won the Euro 2008 final, the winning goal was scored by Mr Fernando Torres. He has been poor throughout the World Cup and he may be distracted by his Liverpool future. In 2008, he also had a poor tournament personally but he arrived with a bang in the final!

It is rumoured that he may not start, but Spain are in their first World Cup semi-final and I doubt Llorente will start against Germany. Torres is 11/2 to score first, but if you feel lady luck is not on his side, you can get 9/2 in the player specials market that he hits the woodwork.

The Total match goals market being over 2.5 is priced at 6/5, it is a little short for me after Spain's inability to convert their chances but the way the German's can counter-attack, we could be in for a one sided goal fest.

I may seem very pro German but I think they can surprise a slightly disappointing Spanish side. Germany were excellent from kick-off against Argentina and England and they will not settle for just the one goal. Germany 4-0 and 4-1 is 66/1 but I fancy the Germany 3-1 win at 22/1.

If you are not convinced by Germany's ability to finish off Spain in ninety minutes, they are 21/20 to win draw not bet.

With Schweinsteiger dictating play from the centre alongside the scintillating Ozil, this German side, gelled together by Loew, could well end up the 2010 World Cup Winners (15/8) and not even the English can begrudge them that.



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