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Rupert Wyman 21st Jun 2010 - 18:35

You cant go wrong with Lee Chung Yong!

South Korea are joint second in Group B with three points, going into the final group games. They play a Nigerian side that have lost both their matches but still have a chance of qualifying for the knock-out stages.

Lars Lagerback's Nigeria must beat South Korea and hope that the group leaders Argentina beat Greece.

The most likely scenario is that Argentina beat Greece, South Korea would then only require the draw.

The ninety minute market suggests that the game will be exceptionally close. Nigeria are 15/8 for the win, the draw is 11/5 and the South Korea victory is 6/4.

The 6/4 on offer for South Korea could be exceptional value if they play like they did against Greece. They were excellent on the ball against the Greeks but their defence buckled against Argentina.

South Korea had a good chance to equalise against the Argentines when they were 2-1 down, so you could argue that the 4-1 Argentina score line was misleading. Nigeria are not nearly as good as Argentina.

Nigeria also have Danny Shittu playing at centre-back, he has the ability to play well but is nothing but an emergency pick for his club Bolton. He is not Premier league standard and if Park Ji Sung and Lee Chung Yong are on-form, they could take Nigeria apart.

Lee Chung Yong fully deserved his goal against Argentina and he has been excellent in midfield. He is 5/1 to score anytime and he enjoys a surging run. Park Ji Sung is South Korea's leader on the pitch and available at 4/1 to score anytime

He is a household name, a very technically gifted player and is often involved in set pieces.  Nigeria will be relying on their defensive destroyer Dickson Etuhu to suppress the South Korea attack.

Nigeria know that they have to score goals and keep a clean sheet should they have any chance of progressing to the knock-out stages, as it will be measured on goal difference should they win and Greece lose.

They are 17/10 to keep a clean sheet, I would not back it at that price because although the Nigerians were beaten by Argentina 1-0, Messi and co had enough chances to put the ball in the back of the net.

The South Korean midfielder Kim Jung Woo has stated that they will go for the win but they will take a cautious approach to play in the first half. In the double result market, the half time draw and the full time South Korea win is 9/2.

If Argentina have put a few goals past Greece by halt time, South Korea should step up their game in the second half.

The half time draw is 4/5, there is no value in this price and with Nigeria maybe mathematically out of the match by half time, the game could change dramatically if South Korea step up their game and Nigeria become disillusioned.



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