Super Bowl LIX Betting Preview: Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

Super Bowl LIX takes place at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans on Sunday 9th February 2025. The Kansas City Chiefs are 1.5-point NFL betting favourites over the Philadelphia Eagles for Sunday’s matchup.

Kansas City is looking to become the first team in NFL history to win three straight Super Bowls. They are only the fourth team to reach the Big Game in three consecutive seasons.

Philadelphia overcame a disappointing postseason last time around to cruise to the NFC East title. It’s been an impressive playoff run from Nick Sirianni’s team, with their league-leading defence and powerful running game leading them to a second Super Bowl in three years.

Super Bowl LIX: How Did They Get Here?

Kansas City Chiefs

• Divisional Round: 23-14 win over the Houston Texans
• AFC Championship: 32-29 win over the Buffalo Bills

Philadelphia Eagles

• Wild Card Round: 22-10 win over the Green Bay Packers
• Divisional Round: 28-22 win over the Los Angeles Rams
• NFC Championship: 55-23 win over the Washington Commanders

Head-To-Head Ahead Of Super Bowl LIX

November 2023: Eagles 21-17 Chiefs

February 2023 (Super Bowl LVII): Chiefs 38-35 Eagles

October 2021: Chiefs 42-30 Eagles

September 2017: Eagles 20-27 Chiefs

September 2013: Chiefs 26-16

Injury Concerns

The Chiefs are without Mecole Hardman and Rashee Rice for the Super Bowl through knee injuries. Skyy Moore is doubtful but returned to practice following the AFC Championship Game. Moore is important for receiving depth and special teams.

Chiefs offensive tackle Jawaan Taylor has been managing a knee issue throughout the postseason. He’s been a full participant in training and should be available.

Zack Baun, DeVonta Smith, Landon Dickerson, Cam Jurgens, Dallas Goedert, Saquon Barkley, A.J. Brown, and Eli Ricks did not participate in Eagles practice. None of the players are listed as questionable, however, so there’s not too much for bettors to worry about here.

Brandon Graham, Kenny Gainwell, Britain Covey, and C.J. Uzomah are all questionable. Gainwell needs to exit concussion protocol to be available in New Orleans.

Chiefs To Win Super Bowl LIX – 4/5

The Chiefs rode some luck early in the regular season, picking up improbable wins and somehow grinding out one-score victories. It’s been an altogether more impressive team in the last few weeks.

Their defence is elite, with versatile, disruptive playcalling. The offence isn’t as high-octane as it has been earlier in Patrick Mahomes’ career, but Travis Kelce has upped his game in the postseason and Mahomes still finds a way to get it done.

Buffalo, led by probable NFL MVP Josh Allen, is the only team to beat the Chiefs this season. It doesn’t seem like that will change this Sunday.

Travis Kelce Over 6.5 receptions – 6/5

Ignore his underwhelming regular season. Forget about the 19 total yards against Buffalo.

Kelce is Mahomes’ go-to receiver. His importance is even greater with the injuries to Rice, Hardman, and Moore.

Having been wrapped in cottonwool throughout the regular year, Kelce had eight receptions on Christmas Day and seven in the Divisional Round win over the Texans.

Kelce has cleared this line in six of his last eight postseason games. His usage skyrockets in the playoffs, so we love getting odds of 6/5 on this line.

Saquon Barkley Over 21.5 Rushing Attempts – 17/20

A blowout of the Commanders meant the Eagles kept Saquon Barkley to 15 rushing attempts in their last game. He had recorded 25 or more rushing attempts in each of his last four, including 51 over the first two rounds of the playoffs.

Philly led the NFL in run play frequency at over 55%. Jonathan Taylor was the only player with more rushing attempts than Barkley.

Kansas City is good against the run, but Philadelphia will look to hammer the Chiefs on the ground as they did to the Commanders in the NFC Championship Game. Barkley is going to see a lot of the ball – he should clear this line.

*All prices correct at the time of writing – odds subject to change*