It’s been a long wait for the semi-finals of the Nations League after the quarter-finals took place in March.
Germany and Portugal matchup in the first of the two semi-finals on Wednesday before France face European champions Spain at Stuttgart’s MHPArena on Thursday evening.
The football betting markets make Spain and Germany the respective favourites. Spain have made the final in the last two previous editions of the competition, including lifting the trophy in 2023. Germany are in the semi-finals for the first time, while Portugal and France won the Nations League in 2019 and 2021, respectively.
Both matches promise to produce plenty of live betting opportunities, whether you’re backing Champions League winner Ousmane Dembele to shine or fancy Portugal to upset the odds at the Allianz Arena on Wednesday.
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Germany vs Portugal, Wednesday, 8pm
- A 3-3 draw with Italy in the second leg of the quarter-finals saw Germany secure their place in the last four of this competition.
- Portugal needed extra time to get past Denmark after going unbeaten in the group stage.
- Cristiano Ronaldo is the top scorer in the 2024/25 Nations League with six goals to his name. No one else has more than four.
- Germany have won their last five matches against Portugal, with the most recent victory coming by a 4-2 scoreline at Euro 2020. Both teams have scored in three of those five matches.
- Portugal have only won two of their last five matches across all competitions, including draws with Croatia and Scotland. Poland are the only team they have beaten away from home in the last 12 months.
- Prior to their 3-3 draw with Italy in the last round, Germany hadn’t conceded a home goal since the Euros. Their defeat to Spain in extra time last summer is their only loss in the last 12 months.
- With home advantage and a highly talented squad, Germany are the team to back to win this match.
Prediction: Germany to win and BTTS (13/5). Germany 3-1 Portugal.
Spain vs France, Thursday 8pm
- Spain and France are ranked second and third in the FIFA World Rankings, respectively.
- Spain played a high-scoring quarter-final with the Netherlands. With the scores tied at 5-5 after extra time, La Roja won on spot kicks to secure their place in the last four of this competition.
- France also needed extra time and penalties after losing the first leg 2-0 to Croatia. Les Bleus won 2-0 in the return fixture and claimed a 5-4 victory in the shootout.
- Randal Kolo Muani and Mikel Oyarzabal (three apiece) are the only players on either team to have scored more than two goals so far in the competition.
- Spain have won two of their last three competitive matches against France. France won the teams met in the Nations League in 2021.
- Dominant throughout the Euros last summer and possessing an almost full-strength squad, Spain are the team to back in this match.
Prediction: Spain -1 (4/1). Spain 3-1 France.
*Odds correct at time of writing – prices subject to change*
