Premier League Predictions & News

Premier League Winner Odds & Predictions (2025/26)

2 months ago

| BY Sam Cox

Who will lift the Premier League title at the end of the 2025/26 campaign? We look at the leading contenders for top flight glory this season as we edge closer to the opening weekend.

Defending champions Liverpool open as the Premier League betting favourites for the 2025/26 season. At 7/4, the Reds are narrowly ahead of Arsenal (9/4) in the latest football betting markets.

Manchester City, winners of six of the last eight Premier League titles, slot behind Arsenal at 3/1. Chelsea, Club World Cup winners and once again spending considerably, are the only other semi-realistic contender at 8/1. No other team is shorter than 28/1.

City and Liverpool have won every Premier League title since 2017. Arsenal have been runners-up in three straight years and haven’t been crowned champions in over two decades, while Chelsea have a solitary top-three finish since 2019.

Premier League Winner Odds For 2025/26:

Punters can bet on the 2025/26 Premier League winning team at William Hill and here is the current state of the market:

Liverpool – 7/4
Arsenal – 9/4
Manchester City – 3/1
Chelsea – 8/1
Manchester United – 28/1
Newcastle United – 33/1
Tottenham Hotspur – 50/1
Aston Villa – 66/1

Deserving Favourites

By far the best team in the Premier League last season, Liverpool deprived neutrals of a true title race. Arne Slot’s team had the league sewn up with weeks to spare, and they have embarked on an ambitious transfer window.

After Trent Alexander-Arnold’s controversial move to Real Madrid and the tragic passing of Diogo Jota, Liverpool have invested heavily in the first-team squad.

Milos Kerkez should slot in as the starting left-back, while Hugo Ekitike, Florian Wirtz, and Jeremie Frimpong are immediate upgrades.

The continued pursuit of Alexander Isak could take Slot’s squad to the next level. Ekitike, Wirtz, and Isak would certainly help to compensate for Mohamed Salah’s absence during the African Cup of Nations midway through the season.

The gap won’t be as big in 2025/26 – Arsenal, Chelsea, and City should all be more consistent, but Liverpool’s advantage entering the opening weekend of the campaign is hard to dispute.

Arsenal Waiting Their Turn

Arsenal needed to make moves this summer. Their attack was too often ineffective in 2024/25. Mikel Arteta needed other options to take the burden away from the overworked Bukayo Saka.

Six teams generated more xG than the Gunners last season. The arrival of Viktor Gyökeres should help in chance creation and conversion, while the ball carrying of Noni Madueke is an added bonus on the flanks.

Christian Norgaard and Martin Zubimendi are useful reinforcements in central midfield. Declan Rice has needed help in the middle third, and the pair give Arteta some flexibility around the England international.

Arsenal have been the bridesmaids for three seasons in a row. Maybe this is their year, but we need to see it to believe it at this point. It’s becoming a bigger psychological challenge each year the title evades them, and this squad doesn’t look anywhere near as strong as Liverpool’s or City’s.

City Are Back

A down year can be forgiven after City won four consecutive titles.

Pep Guardiola’s team were only narrowly behind Chelsea in the expected goal difference standings, and they enter the new season with Rodri fully healthy and an army of new signings, including Rayan Cherki and Tijjani Reijnders.

Too often wide-open defensively last season, the most successful Premier League team of the last decade should be far more secure with Rodri available and Reijnders offering another option in the middle of the park.

Twelve months ago, City being 3/1 to win the title in August would have sounded too good to be true. Guardiola’s team have a lot of work to do, but there’s no question they are legitimate contenders.

Chelsea Getting There

Chelsea recovered from a midseason slump to secure Champions League qualification at the end of 2024/25. Enzo Maresca then led his team to European silverware and an inspired performance to defeat PSG in the Club World Cup final.

Another hyperactive summer has followed. Jorrel Hato, Jamie Gittens, Liam Delap, João Pedro, and Estêvão have arrived. More signings are expected before the window shuts.

Time will tell if Chelsea have sufficient firepower, after they lacked reliable goal scorers in 2024/25. Delap and Pedro could be the men to make a difference, but neither have proven themselves as 15-goal-per-season men.

The midfield – led by the blossoming duo of Moises Caicedo and Enzo Fernandez – could be the best in the league. Maresca has some decisions to make in central defense, and Reece James’ fitness remains a concern.

Prediction: Straight Forecast – Liverpool/Manchester City at 5/1

Liverpool and City are the Premier League’s two most-rounded teams as it stands.

Arsenal are placing a huge amount of faith in Gyökeres being able to translate his Sporting form to the Premier League, while it feels like Chelsea are a year away from serious title contention.

Arsenal are going to be a top-four team, but Liverpool and City have the higher ceilings. The range of outcomes is huge for Chelsea.

A meltdown is always possible at Stamford Bridge – it’s possible they end up fighting for the Europa League rather than contesting the title.