Australian Open
Why Jannik Sinner is so strong at the Australian Open
Jannik Sinner is currently the world’s second-ranked ATP player, and his form arguably looks at its best when he steps onto the courts in Melbourne.
The Australian Open has become a stage on which Sinner consistently delivers his most dominant tennis. Below, we take a closer look at why he is so effective at the year’s first Grand Slam.
Hard Court Mastery
Sinner’s dominance is most pronounced on hard courts, where his flat, penetrating shots cut through the surface with exceptional precision. Over his career, he has posted an impressive 207 to 49 record (80.9 percent) on hard courts, compared with 65 to 24 (73.0 percent) on clay and 29 to 10 (74.4 percent) on grass.
In the past 52 weeks, his form has been even more remarkable: 37 to 3 (92.5 percent) on hard courts, 11 to 2 (84.6 percent) on clay, and 8 to 1 (88.9 percent) on grass.
His success on hard courts is reflected in his Grand Slam results, with standout performances at the 2024 Australian Open and the 2024 US Open. These tournaments highlight his ability to sustain high intensity tennis over two weeks, combining aggressive baseline play with a tactical serve that keeps opponents off balance. The betting markets reflect this dominance, with Sinner currently priced at odds on (4/5) to lift the Australian Open this year, underscoring his reputation as one of the tournament favourites.
Thriving in Melbourne
The Australian Open presents unique challenges, from extreme heat to long rallies that test endurance. Sinner’s tall frame and efficient movement give him a significant advantage in these conditions. Unlike some players who tire quickly in the Melbourne heat, Sinner covers the court effectively while conserving energy.
This physical efficiency, combined with precise shot making, allows him to maintain his level throughout gruelling matches.
His upcoming second round match against Australian James Duckworth will test him in front of a partisan home crowd. While local support will be firmly behind Duckworth, Sinner is heavily favoured in the betting markets at 1/200, reflecting confidence in his ability to handle both the atmosphere and the heat.
Early Season Momentum
As the first Grand Slam of the year, the Australian Open offers a fresh start, and Sinner often arrives with maximum energy. Unlike late season tournaments, where fatigue and minor injuries can accumulate, Melbourne allows him to play freely and focus fully on his game.
What sets him apart is that, early in the season, Sinner faces relatively fewer expectations. This reduces pressure and enables him to express his best tennis without overthinking, a key advantage over opponents who may already be feeling the grind of the season.
With his hard court prowess, physical efficiency and early season freshness, Sinner is a natural contender in Melbourne. The combination of form, fitness and mental freedom makes him one of the most dangerous players in the draw, both in the eyes of analysts and punters alike. As the Australian Open unfolds, he is not only a player to watch but also a strong candidate to claim his next Grand Slam title.
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