MMA
UFC: Yadong Song vs Deiveson Figueiredo Prediction
The bantamweight showdown between Yadong Song and Deiveson Figueiredo has quickly become one of the most intriguing fights on the MMA calendar, pairing one of the division’s most explosive rising contenders against a former flyweight champion still searching for another statement victory.
While both men bring elite-level experience and finishing ability into the cage, the market points heavily toward one side.
Song dominates the betting
Yadong Song enters the contest as the commanding 2/13 favourite, with punters clearly expecting his youth, speed, and striking power to prove decisive.
The Chinese star has steadily developed into one of the bantamweight division’s most dangerous names, combining technical boxing with genuine knockout power. Against elite competition, Song has consistently shown the ability to dictate tempo and punish opponents in exchanges, and the market believes those advantages will be difficult for Figueiredo to handle over three rounds.
That confidence is reflected strongly in the method-of-victory betting.
Song is priced at 19/20 to win by knockout, making it the shortest-priced outcome on the board. His aggressive pressure and ability to finish combinations cleanly have convinced bookmakers that a stoppage is the most likely ending to the fight.
There is also respect for his ability to control the action over the distance, with Song available at 11/8 to win by decision.
Can Figueiredo upset the odds?
For Deiveson Figueiredo, the fight represents another opportunity to prove he can remain a genuine contender after moving up from flyweight.
The Brazilian enters as the 15/4 outsider, but his resume alone makes him impossible to dismiss completely. Figueiredo’s experience in championship fights and his dangerous submission game ensure he remains a threat if the contest becomes scrappy or unpredictable.
It appears to give his best chance through surviving the striking exchanges and dragging the fight into deeper waters, with Figueiredo priced at 15/2 to win by decision.
Still, the odds suggest the market believes he may struggle with Song’s pace and physicality at bantamweight.
What victory means
A win for Song Yadong would further cement his place among the elite contenders at 135 pounds and potentially move him within touching distance of a title eliminator or championship opportunity.
At just 28 years old, Song continues to look like one of the division’s future stars, and a dominant victory over a former UFC champion would significantly strengthen his credentials.
For Deiveson Figueiredo, the stakes feel even larger.
Another high-profile victory in the bantamweight division would prove his championship pedigree still translates at a higher weight class and keep him firmly relevant in the title conversation.
The prediction
Figueiredo’s experience and toughness should create difficult moments early, but over the course of the fight it is difficult to look beyond Song Yadong.
The younger fighter’s speed, striking sharpness, and physical advantages appear likely to dictate the pace from the opening exchanges.
Punters clearly expect Song to secure a stoppage, and it is easy to see why. If he establishes his rhythm early, the pressure and power could eventually become too much for Figueiredo to absorb.
Prices accurate at time of writing – odds subject to change
