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Strictly Come Dancing Winner Odds: Lacey Turner Heads Betting After First Elimination
Strictly Come Dancing has already delivered its first shock of the series, and the market has wasted no time reacting, with William Hill News assessing the leading contenders.
Chris Appleton was the first celebrity eliminated after the opening dance-off, while Jaime Winstone survived the bottom two and lives to fight another week.
That result matters for punters because the early live shows are where momentum starts to harden into betting sentiment. Lacey Turner now heads the win market at 7/4, with Delta Goodrem, Dani Dyer and John Nellis available to back at 6/1.
Those prices reflect more than one Saturday night of scoring; they reflect how the market expects viewers and judges to keep responding once the public vote is fully in play.
Latest Strictly Come Dancing Winner Odds:
- Lacey Turner – 7/4
- Delta Goodrem – 6/1
- Dani Dyer – 6/1
- John Nellis – 6/1
- Graeme Hall – 9/1
- Cach Mercer – 12/1
- Tabby Stoecker – 12/1
- Will Best – 14/1
- Lawrence Robb – 16/1
- Bethany Antonia – 25/1
- Jaime Winstone – 50/1
- Sarah Storey – 100/1
- Shaun Wright-Phillips – 150/1
- Melanie Walters – 150/1
What the first elimination told us
The first dance-off combined the judges’ scores from the opening two live shows with the public vote, which is the point where Strictly Come Dancing betting starts to feel less theoretical and more like a live read on popularity.
Chris Appleton and Amy Dowden fell into the bottom two alongside Jaime Winstone and Carlos Gu, then lost out when Shirley Ballas, Motsi Mabuse and Anton Du Beke all chose to save Jaime and Carlos.
Craig Revel Horwood, who had the deciding vote, said he would have also saved Jaime and Carlos if required. That gives the first elimination a fairly clean message for the market: the couples with broader early support have already begun to separate from the pack.
The favourites and why the market likes them
Lacey Turner has become the main betting force after another strong showing in Movie Week pushed her to the top of the outright market at 7/4.
Her position is helped by the fact that the betting market often favours contestants who look capable of building week after week rather than those who peak early and wobble later.
Delta Goodrem sits second at 6/1 after another strong performance with Kai Widdrington, while John Nellis and Dani Dyer remain in the frame at 6/1 despite slipping from the top spots after the second live show.
Graeme Hall, who topped the judges’ leaderboard on the night with 31 points, is priced at 9/1, which shows how different the betting view can be from the judges’ table.
Who looks overpriced, and who looks short enough
Betting on Strictly is rarely about the leaderboard alone, and that is already visible here. Graeme Hall’s 31 points may keep him prominent in the conversation, but the market has him behind the top three because long-term winning profiles matter more than one clean Saturday.
That is especially true in a series where public vote strength can quickly reshape the pecking order.
Bethany Antonia is the most interesting name from the supercomputer angle, which put her top of its model on 3/2 after analysing more than two decades of Strictly data. The model liked her acting background, her Capricorn star sign and the broader statistical profile it associated with past winners.
That does not make her the safest bet in every book, but it does make her one of the sharpest names to watch if the market keeps tightening around repeatable winner traits.
The long shots are already drifting
Jaime Winstone is out to 50/1 after surviving the first elimination, while Dame Sarah Storey sits at 100/1 in the betting. Those numbers tell a simple story: once a contestant lands in danger this early, the room for a comeback narrows fast.
The other notable drifters include Shaun Wright-Phillips and Melanie Walters, both priced at 150/1 to lift the glitterball trophy. In a show where weekly improvement matters, those prices suggest the market is waiting for proof rather than hope.
What Next?
The next results show will matter because the public vote now has a bigger body of evidence to work with, and that usually sharpens both the top end and the danger zone.
Lacey Turner looks the one the market wants most right now, Delta Goodrem remains the closest challenger, and Bethany Antonia is the standout alternative if the supercomputer-style logic starts to win over more punters.
The early read is clear enough: the first elimination has not just removed Chris Appleton, it has started to define the race to lift the glitterball trophy.
Strictly betting should stay firmly in the entertainment lane. Set a budget, keep the stake small, and remember that wagering requirements and minimum deposit or stake terms matter if you are using any promotional offer.
If betting stops feeling fun, step away and use the support tools that are there for you. For guidance and Safer Gambling help, visit www.begambleaware.org.
