By Thomas Strong
6th September 2018
- Saturday 8th September
- Start time: 22:00
- Venue: Birmingham Arena (NEC)
- Live on Sky Sports Action
Khan vs Vargas predictions: Bout betting odds
William Hill’s Amir Khan vs Samuel Vargas odds tell you everything you need to know about how competitive this duel is expected to be.
King Khan is trading at odds of just 1/25 to register a victory which should bring a big money fight against long-time rival Kell Brook one step closer to fruition.
His Colombian foe is a 10/1 betting underdog whose lack of knockout power is highlighted by the fact that just 14 of his 29 career wins have come inside the distance.
Prediction: Amir Khan to win @ 1/25 odds, but let’s look further into the our Khan vs Vargas predictions for some better value picks.
Free betting tips: Khan vs Vargas predictions – will we see a knockout?
Best bet: Amir Khan on points @ 11/4 odds
Having already acknowledged Vargas (who comes into this bout off the back of a 10-round draw with Mauro Godoy) not being a big puncher, it’s only fair to point out Khan too has a very ordinary KO tally (20 from 32 triumphs).
It’ll take more than poleaxing Phil Lo Greco, sheepish from the get-go, in the opening round of his first fight for two years & five months to make him a knockout merchant at the 147lb limit.
Khan is priced up at just 4/11 odds in the betting to win by KO, TKO or DQ, despite his last four fights at welterweight going the full 12 rounds.
That looks short enough against an opponent who has 62 rounds under his belt since the boy from Bolton was broadsided by Saul Alvarez in 2016 (that’s 61 rounds more than Amir).
Khan vs Vargas to go the distance is priced up at 12/5 odds, while a points verdict the way of the British boxer is priced at an 11/4 pick.
With a mega fight against Kell Brook in the offing should Khan prevail, Vargas was doubtless handpicked as much due to a lack of serious power as for his durability.
Yet equally, as seen with Tyson Fury’s recent win over Francesco Pianeta, getting rounds under the former Olympic silver medallist’s belt ahead of greater challenges is essential.
Pressing the issue too readily isn’t in Khan’s interest and Vargas has only ever been stopped by two fighters (an already world champion Danny Garcia, against whom he lasted three rounds longer than Khan had, and now-IFB-strap-holder Errol Spence Jr).
Aged 31 and with one pro-round under his belt in two years, it would be unfair to expect Amir to be boxing at their level again just yet, if ever again.
Khan vs Vargas predictions: Round betting
Betting Recommendation: Amir Khan round 7-12 (grouped round betting) @ 11/8 odds
The Khan vs Vargas odds on round betting have wins for the home fighter in round five, six, seven, eight or nine each priced up as 9/1 joint favourites.
Having just tipped this second-city showdown to call the judges’ scorecards into scrutiny, it’s clear we think the likely outcome is this fight’s going long, if it ends inside the distance at all.
With that in mind, the 11/8 odds available about Khan taking care of business at some point between the start of the seventh, and the conclusion of the 12th looks a solid alternative prediction in the grouped round betting for those expecting Vargas to crumble late in the piece.