Boxing
Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov Prediction: Gypsy King Returns (Again)
Tyson Fury and Arslanbek Makhmudov matchup at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on April 11.
It is Fury’s first bout in 15 months, but that doesn’t stop the Brit being the overwhelming boxing betting favourite.
There are no belts on the line in this fight, though that won’t dampen interest too much. Fury’s fights are always a spectacle, and boxing fans will be particularly keen to see him in action after so long away from the ring.
Form Guide
Fury has lost his last two fights. Oleksandr Usyk was victorious over Fury in May and December of 2024, ending a seven-fight winning streak.
Makhmudov has been active more recently than his opponent with a win over David Allen last October to claim the WBA Inter-Continental heavyweight title. That made it back-to-back wins for Makhmudov after losses in December 2023 and August 2024.
Fury has far more experience than his less decorated opponent, with 254 rounds to Makhmudov’s 69, but there’s the question of whether the Brit will be rusty. Throughout his career, Makhmudov has struggled when facing elite fighters, which is part of the reason it was a surprise to see him named as Fury’s next opponent.
It feels worth noting, though, that Makhmudov has won by a knockout in 90% of his bouts. Fury is down at 71%. Sure, that can partly be attributed to weaker competition, but it also speaks to the danger Makhmudov poses.
When Will the Fight Start?
The main card should start at round 7pm on Netflix. Fury’s ringwalk should be about 10:30pm. A Netflix subscription is required to watch the fight live. TalkSport and BBC Radio 5 Live will carry radio commentary.
Ticket Sales
Given how quickly Fury fights have sold out in the past, there has been some speculation about whether this bout would even sell out. Tickets have moved slowly, which is a topic Fury was forced to address in his midweek media commitments.
“Let’s just say it’s been a very busy few months with the boxing scene all around the world and especially in the UK. There have been a lot of big fights on, but Gypsy King always sells out.
“On the night there will be over 60-odd thousand at Tottenham, which is full capacity. The tickets have not been as fast as say the two days I sold out Wembley at 94,000, but it has gone over the past month or so, so we’ll be at full capacity on the night.”
Fury vs Makhmudov Prediction
It’s fair to say Fury has something to prove. This is his first fight in the UK since 2022, and the defeats to Usyk took some of the shine off his glittering CV.
The power Makhmudov possesses makes him a threat. At 7/2 to win the fight, the 6/1 on the underdog to win by KO, TKO, or DQ is surely decent value. His best – perhaps only – chance is to deliver one of his trademark power punches and knock Fury out.
Fury clearly has the upper hand with his experience and nous. Makhmudov is the underdog for a reason, but he’s a volatile fighter with the raw power to spring an upset.
The 4/11 price on the fight not to go the distance reflects how this fight is being projected. Fury has a knack for managing these high-profile fights – we like the 11/4 price on the favourite to win by decision or technical decision.
Undercard
- Conor Benn v Regis Prograis – welterweight
- Jeamie ‘TKV’ Tshikeva (champion) v Richard Riakporhe – British heavyweight title
- Frazer Clarke v Justis Huni – heavyweight
Prelims:
- Simon Zachenhuber v Pawel August – middleweight
- Breyon Gorham v Eduardo Costa – light-welterweight
- Mikie Tallon v Leonardo Blanc – flyweight
- Felix Cash v Liam O’Hare – middleweight
- Hector Lozano v Sultan Almohammed – super-featherweight
- Elliot Whale v Tom Hill – welterweight
*Odds subject to change – prices accurate at the time of writing*
