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Vuelta a España 2026 Stages 14 & 15 Tips: Mas vs Roglič Red Jersey Odds

21 minutes ago
| BY News Team

The 2026 Vuelta a España heads deep into Andalusia this weekend as Stage 14 brings a brutal summit finish and Stage 15 offers the break a real chance, and William Hill News are here with all you need to know ahead of the action.

Enric Mas heads into the weekend in red, his advantage over Primoz Roglic sitting at 1:45 after the Spaniard extended his lead on the Calar Alto in Stage 12. With Felix Gall, Oscar Onley and Richard Carapaz all still lurking inside five minutes, this pair of Andalusian stages could go a long way to shaping who stands on top of the podium in Granada.

Stage 14 at a Glance

  • Route: Jaén to Sierra de la Pandera (154.5km)
  • Stage type: Mountain, summit finish
  • Profile: 4,338m of elevation gain
  • Final climb: 11.9km at an average of 7.2%

Saturday offers virtually no flat roads all day before the road kicks up for good on the Sierra de la Pandera, a punishing 11.9km climb that has decided Vuelta stages before. Unlike the steadier grinds earlier in the race, this finish comes with repeated ramps into double figures, the sort of terrain that rewards an explosive attacker over a rider simply holding a hard tempo.

Who Can Win It

Expect the GC group to control matters for most of the day before the fireworks start on the final climb. Roglic has been the strongest climber in the race over the last week and, with 1:45 still to find, a summit finish like this is precisely where he needs to go on the offensive. Mas’s job is simpler: mark the moves and limit his losses rather than chase a stage win.

Stage 15 at a Glance

  • Route: Palma del Río to Córdoba (189.7km)
  • Stage type: Medium mountain
  • Profile: 3,525m of elevation gain

Sunday’s run through the heart of Andalusia is a different proposition entirely. With the finish in Córdoba coming after the day’s categorised climbing rather than on it, this looks built for a strong breakaway to contest the win, with the GC riders more likely to shadow each other than to attack.

Who Can Win It

With the hardest terrain of the day arriving well before the finish, the peloton has little incentive to chase hard unless the move gets dangerous on the overall standings. That points towards a well-drilled breakaway going the distance, though a reduced bunch sprint remains on the table if the top teams decide otherwise.

Red Jersey Picture

Mas’s cushion is a healthy one but far from unassailable with six stages still to race, and Stage 14’s summit finish is the kind of terrain where 1:45 can disappear quickly. William Hill News expect Mas to defend his lead through the weekend, with Roglic the rider best placed to close the gap before the race reaches Madrid.

 

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