Frank Lampard is making his first steps into football management with Derby County and the Chelsea legend is 2/5 still to be in charge of the Rams on the last day of the 2018/19 campaign.
The Championship 2018/19
However, given the managerial turnover in recent years at Pride Park, the 7/4 about him having departed the club before that stage looks far more appealing.
The Pride Park pressure cooker has accounted for four full-time gaffers during the last three seasons, only one of which lasted a full term.
Paul Clement started the 2015/2016 campaign, but only made it as far as February 2016, while Nigel Pearson came in at the end of the same season, but was gone by early October of the next.
Steve McClaren’s first spell at the club had lasted 19 months but, having been re-appointed in October 2016, he only made it to the following March.
Reassuringly for Lampard, Derby’s most recent boss Gary Rowett did last more than season, before leaving for Stoke in the move that precipitated the former England man’s arrival.
However, Rowett had already proven himself an excellent manager, leading Burton Albion to fourth place in League Two and later guiding Birmingham City to seventh in the Championship before he was replaced amid boardroom upheaval at St Andrew’s.
Clement, McClaren and Pearson too had a wealth of experience within the game, but it wasn’t enough to insulate them at a club that has endured a frustrating few campaigns of promotion near-misses.
Examples of first-time club success scant among Lampard contemporaries
For Lampard to buck the trend in his first managerial position is an enormous ask and the chastening experiences of TV studio tactician-turned-coach and erstwhile England colleague Gary Neville at Valencia only underline how difficult the switch from elite player to club coach can be.
Despite going 10 league games without a win following his arrival in the Valencia dugout, Neville, one of the few Lampard contemporaries to try their hand at club management, did somehow last 28 games at Valencia.
Whether or not the ex-Chelsea midfielder can outdo his former Three Lions teammate for longevity remains to be seen.
But, regardless of his managerial ability, recent history at his new club suggests he will have his work cut out to last the 2018/19 season.