By William Hill
19th November 2018
Gareth Bale’s continuing presence within the Wales squad following the end of their UEFA Nations League B campaign suggests the Dragons have every chance of milking their trip to Albania for maximum reward.
Albania vs Wales: Odds and Predictions
Ryan Giggs’ men are wagering at 6/5 to bounce back from the 2-1 home defeat to Denmark that ended their hopes of Nations League promotion with a win at the Elbasan Arena.
The Welsh have won just three of their past 11 internationals, with those victories coming at the expense of the People’s Republic of China and the dour-to-their-detriment Republic of Ireland.
Christian Panucci’s hosts are trading at 5/2 for what would be only their third win in 13 games, while the draw is priced up at odds of 21/10.
However, while the Welsh have been failing to thrive against sides of the calibre of Denmark, Spain, Mexico and France during their recent success-light streak, the Eagles have been getting turned over by those of more modest means, with Scotland, Israel, Kosovo and Norway among their conquerors.
With Real Madrid star Bale sticking around to inspire his colleagues, our Albania vs Wales predictions and betting tips make the visitors our pick to tease out a triumph to guild the occasion of his close friend Chris Gunter surpassing Neville Southall’s caps record for their country.
Albania vs Wales head-to-head (most recent first): Albania 1-1 Wales, Wales 2-0 Albania.
Albania vs Wales predictions: correct score, best bet, scorer tips
Correct score prediction: Albania 0-2 Wales, trading @ 17/2
The Albanians mustered a single goal across the four matches of the Nations League C Group 1 relegation campaign they’ve just concluded and ride a 395-minute international scoring drought into this friendly.
If the Eagles couldn’t put one past Jordan, our Albania vs Wales predictions see no reason for this fixture to offer them an oasis from their woes on that front, with the Welsh having few issues shutting out similarly uninspired foes in the Republic of Ireland two games back.
Giggs’ side have bagged in four of their last five matches and have both Bale and Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey present to offer them the necessary creative wherewithal to engineer them an advantage of the cushioned variety and land this betting tip.
Albania snapped a four-match under 2.5 total match goals streak against Scotland last time out, but just one of the Scots’ strikes were netted before Mergim Mavraj’s 21st-minute sending off, with Rangers’ Eros Grezda bemoaning the decision’s effect on their game plan post-match.
Grezda also noted the physically-draining effects of playing with 10 men and in a pick’ em betting heat where the Welsh win and over 2.5 goals is also priced at 16/5, that could be taken as persuasive reason for picking the overs instead.
However, the visitors have bagged twice or less in all bar two of their past 17 international games outside the land of song, while their 6-0 thrashing of the Chinese is the sole overs outlier across their last nine such fixtures.
Combine that with Panucci’s side’s recent struggles in front of goal and the second of our Albania vs Wales predictions is going be erring on the side of fewer strikes.
Goalscorer predictions: David Brooks our pick to score anytime, odds @ 16/5
Bale looks a very reasonable betting projection to bag his seventh international strike in his last 10 caps at 5/4, but our Albania vs Wales predictions are after greater rewards.
Manchester City youngster Rabbi Matondo has yet to be priced up following his call-up to Giggs’ squad, but he’s had them agog in the Premier League 2 this term, notching six time in nine outings, and could be an interesting last scorer wager if introduced from the bench.
However, the tip here is a rising star further out into the firmament in David Brooks, who has looked at home at this level this season and could be ready to open his account for the national side after hitting three goals in his last six Premier League games.
Albania vs Wales stats: Opta
- Wales are unbeaten in their two previous meetings with Albania, beating them 2-0 at home and drawing 1-1 away in qualifying for EURO 1996.
- Albania have won just one of their last nine friendly matches (D2 L6), beating Turkey 3-2 in November 2017.
- Wales have lost three of their last four games in all competitions (W1), as many as they had in their previous 16 (W6 D7 L3).
- Gareth Bale has scored five and assisted two of Wales’ 13 total goals under manager Ryan Giggs.
- Albania haven’t scored in 395 minutes of international football.
- Under 2.5 goals has landed the odds in 15 of Wales’ last 17 internationals outside their homeland.