By William Hill
29th November 2018
Just two of the last nine Arsenal managers (including caretakers) won their first Premier League showdown with Tottenham and Unai Emery looks up against it in his bid to emulate predecessor Arsene Wenger in achieving the feat.
Arsenal vs Tottenham: Odds and Predictions
The Gunners are 6/4 favourites in the match betting despite winning just once in their last four Premier League games, while Spurs, boasting the best away record in the division, are trading at odds of 17/10 and the draw is priced up as a 5/2 pick in our betting tips.
Mauricio Pochettino’s men have lost just one of their last four visits to the Emirates too and our Arsenal vs Tottenham predictions expect them to avoid defeat at their rivals’ place once again.
However, Emery inherited a side with a home record only Man City bettered in the top flight last term and while the hosts have already failed to win three games in 2018/19, two of those, a loss to Manchester City and a draw with Liverpool, were repeat results from the season before.
Arsenal vs Tottenham head-to-head (most recent first): Tottenham 1-0 Arsenal, Arsenal 2-0 Tottenham, Tottenham 2-0 Arsenal, Arsenal 1-1 Tottenham, Tottenham 2-2 Arsenal, Arsenal 1-1 Tottenham.
Arsenal vs Tottenham predictions: correct score, best bet, scorer tips
Correct score prediction: Arsenal 1-1 Tottenham, projected @ 11/2
Three of the last four Emirates editions of this derby duel landed our correct score tip and the latest instalment looks primed to follow suit, with goals in relatively short supply for the hosts at present.
Arsenal have failed to net just once in their last seven games and only managed to notch twice in three of those: against Blackpool in the EFL Cup, Crystal Palace when one was handball-assisted and Bournemouth thanks to Jefferson Lerma’s rocket-powered OG.
They’ve not shut out a domestic opponent, including the Tangerines, since September, while the Lilywhites haven’t failed to find the onion bag on their travels once all season.
Spurs’ superb road record in the division this term is mitigated by the calibre of opponents they’ve faced (Manchester United the sole ‘big’ side visited to date) and, against rivals who’ve shipped exactly once in four of their past five at home, the forecast of a low-scoring draw would represent a good result.
Best bet: Draw, odds wagering @ 5/2
For the reasons highlighted previously, a share of the spoils looks the most pragmatic bet in our Arsenal vs Tottenham predictions.
Any vague lure held by a Spurs win is dashed by odds of 10/11 about Tottenham in the draw no bet market, not to mention them looking for only their third North London derby away victory in the Premier League era.
Goalscorer predictions: Henrikh Mkhitaryan to score last @ 15/2
Harry Kane has found the net in six of his seven Premier League appearances against the Gunners, but while it would be foolhardy to discount him, anytime odds tipped at 17/20 aren’t hugely enthusing.
Similarly it will be interesting to see how long 5/1 first scorer bet Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang can continue to score with every shot he has on target – his last eight have all registered.
Instead, Mkhitaryan, who averages more shots per game than the Gabonese goal machine in the league this term, is our pick for the last to bag honours at 15/2, after obliging in his previous home game.
Arsenal vs Tottenham Opta stats:
- Premier League matches between Arsenal and Tottenham have seen both teams find the net more often than any other fixture in the competition (34).
- Spurs have won their last seven top-flight London derby matches – only once have they ever had a longer such run in the top flight (eight between October 1950 and August 1951).
- Arsenal’s Emery and Tottenham boss Pochettino haven’t faced since April 2012, when the latter’s Espanyol side won 4-0 against Valencia in La Liga. However, the Gunners boss won all three home La Liga meetings with his Lilywhites co