By William Hill
Last Updated: 7th December 2018
A must-win Champions League encounter with Napoli looms large on the horizon for Liverpool, who are likely to offer Bournemouth hope by resting key players for their south coast sojourn.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool: Odds and Predictions
Eddie Howe’s men are 4/1 match-betting outsiders despite arresting a four-match losing slump with a scarcely-deserved victory over a profligate Huddersfield at the Vitality Stadium in midweek.
The draw has been priced up as 16/5 pick, while a win for the more illustrious of the two sides to visit the Cherries this week is trading at odds of just 63/100.
Whether the Reds’ pre-Napoli changes are made to the starting XI or once the match has been put to bed, our Bournemouth vs Liverpool tips envisage the best defence in the Premier League (imagine saying that even last season!) seeing out a narrow victory for Jurgen Klopp’s men.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool head-to-head (most recent first): Liverpool 3-0 Bournemouth, Bournemouth 0-4 Liverpool, Liverpool 2-2 Bournemouth, Bournemouth 4-3 Liverpool, Bournemouth 1-2 Liverpool, Liverpool 1-0 Bournemouth.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool predictions: correct score, best bet, scorer tips
Correct score prediction: Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool, odds @ 8/1
Ok, so shutting out a Cherries side that’ve blanked in just two of their past 22 home games across all competitions and boast the Premier League’s joint-third top scorer Callum Wilson and leading assister Ryan Fraser in their ranks won’t be a walk in the park.
However, the Anfield outfit have given up just six top-flight goals all season, with a miserly four shipped across seven away play dates in the division, plus they beat the hosts to nil twice last term.
Our Bournemouth vs Liverpool predictions expect the Reds to chisel out a victory in a similar manner to their 1-0 win over Huddersfield, which also preceded a Champions League game and saw Roberto Firmino benched and Sadio Mane not featured in the matchday squad.
This season 23.9% of all Premier League goals have been scored in the last of the six 15-minute segments into which the 90 minutes is divided (the ones leading up to the interval and the final whistle include injury time).
At a ground that has become synonymous with late drama, more often than not inflicted on the visitors by Howe’s comeback kings, it’d be rude not to follow the numbers with this tip.
Liverpool have notched as many times from the 76th minute onwards as Manchester City this term, doing so in dramatic fashion against Everton in the Merseyside derby last weekend.
Only Fulham have shipped more in that quarter-hour than Bournemouth in the EPL in 2018/19.
Goalscorer predictions: Divock Origi our pick to score last, odds @ 4/1
Ah, an utterly reactionary Bournemouth vs Liverpool tip, in the wake of the almost-forgotten Belgian’s extremely fortuitous, tattoo-inflicting derby winner.
— Forever Red (@ForeverRed98) December 4, 2018
Or not. The serial loanee’s strong strike rate vs the enemy (three goals in four appearances) had been overlooked, so let’s not make the same mistake against the Cherries.
Origi has scored on both his previous league starts against the boys in black and red and is fancied to get more game time with some of those above him in the pecking order sure to be kept in cotton wool ahead of the crunch clash with Napoli on Tuesday.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool predictions: stats
- Two sides to finish in last season’s Premier League top six have visited the Vitality Stadium so far this term, Manchester United and Arsenal, with both winning.
- Five of Bournemouth’s last six outings have ended up with a 2-1 scoreline one way or another, with the sole outlier in that sequence a 3-1 loss to Manchester City.
- The Cherries have copped more home bookings than any other side in the top flight in 2018/19.