By Maryam Naz
24th December 2018
Facing potential relegation contenders in the build-up to the clash at Anfield against the Premier League leaders might seem like good preparation, but given that the Seagulls won in their most recent tie against Arsenal, they could prove to be a thorn in Unai Emery’s side.
Brighton vs Arsenal: odds and predictions
The Gunners are trading as 4/6 betting favourites in our Brighton vs Arsenal predictions and betting tips, meanwhile, Chris Hughton’s men are projected as 17/4 outsiders, with a potential draw forecast at odds of a 29/10 pick.
Given that Arsenal has dazzled offensively, it makes sense for their defensive issues to have slipped under the radar. But last week’s defeat to the Saints that ended their unbeaten run will provide the Seagulls with the hope of a similar result playing out.
Amidst the likes of Pascal Gross and Alireza Jahanbakhsh, Florin Andone has been a rising star from within the Brighton ranks. Despite the Romanian only having netted twice this season, his attacking flair and creativity spearhead the Seagull’s counter-attack.
Andone will be competing against a more potent Arsenal attacking line-up, boasting the likes of Alexandr Lacazette, Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey.
Yet given that Emery’s men play Liverpool on the 29th, Arsenal may play a heavily-rotated squad – a factor that Brighton will look to exploit if they are to take anything away from this game.
Brighton vs Arsenal head-to-head (most recent first) Brighton 2-1 Arsenal, Brighton 0-2 Arsenal, Brighton 2-3 Arsenal, Brighton 2-3 Arsenal, Brighton 1-2 Arsenal.
Brighton vs Arsenal match betting: score, best bet, scorer tips
Predicted score: Arsenal to win 2-1, forecast @ 7/1
The first of our Brighton vs Arsenal predictions and betting tips wagers that the North London side will emerge as narrow winners.
Given that Brighton haven’t won any of their last nine League games played on Boxing Day (W0, D3, L6), a narrow win might not seem the most fruitful of predictions, yet consider this: the last three games in the fixture have involved slim, 3-2 victories for the Gunners, where they’ve had to graft to emerge as victors.
The odds may be in Unai Emery’s favour, but his side will have to be clinical if they are to leave the Amex Stadium with all three points.
Given that Arsenal have not been a picture of defensive cohesion in recent games, we’re not projecting them to emerge from Falmer Road with a clean-sheet intact.
The second instalment of our Brighton vs Arsenal predictions wagers that Glenn Murray will spoil the festivities for Emery’s men with a goal anytime during the game, with the odds priced up at 13/8.
The Englishman has already scored two goals in 125 minutes played against the away side, including the winner of the Seagulls in this fixture last year, making him a prime candidate to do so again this Wednesday.
Yes, Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in six of their 10 games against Brighton in the top-flight league, but the reoccurrence of defensive mistakes across this season does not give our betting tipsters confidence in another clean sheet.
Predicted scorer: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang our pick to score first @ 10/3
The Gabonese striker brings up the rear in our Brighton vs Arsenal predictions and is trading as the first to score with the odds betting at 10/3.
Indeed, Aubameyang has already scored at least twice in six different Premier League games, and up against Hughton’s leaky defensive set-up, he operates as the firm favourite to add to that tally.
His pace and skill on the counter could be too explosive for the Brighton defenders to nullify, and given his track-record for counter-attacking goals, it wouldn’t be all too surprising to see this play out again.
Brighton vs Arsenal stats: Opta
- Brighton have lost five of their last six games against Arsenal in all competitions, however, did win the most recent meeting between the two (2-1 in March 2018).
- Brighton have won each of their last three home games against Arsenal in the top-flight, after losing the first two such meetings.
- Arsenal have lost just one of their last 13 Premier League played games on Boxing Day (W10 D2), losing 0-4 at Southampton in 2015-16.
- Brighton have lost their last three Premier League games. They’ve never lost four in a row in the competition, last doing so within the same top-flight season in 1982-83.
- Arsenal have scored at least twice in all eight of their away Premier League games this season – they could become the first team to score 2+ goals in their first nine away games in a single top-flight campaign.
Maryam is a female football writer, who grew up playing a wide variety of sport. She slowly became converted as a lover of football around the age of 10, and her interest in it drove her to pursue it not only physically, but also academically. In her first year of college she cemented a placement at the Independent, whom she worked for before branching out to Premier League-accredited sites like the female-led 'Offside Rule' blog and RealSport. She studied English at University alongside this, and is now a digital copy-writer and editor, specialising in sports journalism.