Championship Relegation Odds, Betting Tips And Predictions

The battle to avoid relegation from the Championship is on and just eight points separate the bottom eight teams in England’s second tier with five matches remaining.

The situation looks bleak for Plymouth Argyle, who are currently rooted to the foot of the table and five points adrift of safety, while Luton Town’s position is also precarious. The third and final relegation spot is wide open, with Derby County and Cardiff City level on 42 points.

Furthermore, Stoke City and Hull City are just two points clear on 44 points while Portsmouth and Oxford United are still in danger on 45 points. It’s going to be one hell of an end to the 2024/25 season!

Who will stay up and who will drop down to League One? Only time will tell. The games are starting to come thick and fast ahead of the season’s finale at the end of the month and all eyes will be on the teams fighting for their Championship survival.

*Article below published on 25th February 2025 – update above on 10th April 2025*

The fight against relegation in the Championship is set to go to the wire. Plymouth (1/7) and Luton (2/5) are the heavy favourites for the drop in the latest Championship betting markets, but it’s all to play for with teams having between 12 and 13 matches to play.

Derby round out the teams projected for relegation in the football betting markets at a price of 4/6. Cardiff are 9/4, which is the shortest price of any team currently outside the bottom three.

*All prices accurate at the time of writing – odds subject to change*

Six-Team Tussle

It looks like six teams are realistically still threatened by relegation. Oxford United are winless in six league matches, but their wins over Blackburn and Luton in January look to have given them enough of a buffer. An eight-point lead over the final relegation place should be sufficient, particularly as they still face Hull and Cardiff before the end of the campaign.

Luton, currently 24th, are only seven points behind Stoke City. The Potters are sixth-bottom after a 4-2 defeat to Norwich at the weekend.

Stoke are five points ahead of 22nd-placed Plymouth Argyle. With Plymouth averaging 0.88 points per match, five points seems like a big gap with only a couple of months to go, particularly if Stoke can get a result in their game in hand on Tuesday.

Tuesday night also sees a six-pointer between Cardiff and Hull. A win for either team will take them above Stoke. A draw would take both out of striking distance of Plymouth, who are currently three points behind both teams.

Hull’s win away to Sunderland gave them a major boost coming into this match. Their 7/1 price for the drop reflects their improvement over the last few months with 18 points from 15 matches since the start of December.

Stoke In Danger

It’s a bit early to say Tuesday’s match at home to Middlesbrough is must-win for Stoke. They are nearing that territory, though, with Boro having lost five matches in a row. Stoke are 23rd in expected goal difference per 90 minutes this season and have four consecutive matches against top-half teams after this midweek clash in the Potteries.

Wins over Hull and Swansea in recent weeks have given Stoke a bit more hope, but that will be extinguished if they lose to Middlesbrough this week. You certainly wouldn’t be keen to back the Potters in Championship top half finish betting markets.

Plymouth are the only team with worse underlying numbers than the Potters. The team from Devon looked set to kickstart a great escape with league wins either side of their FA Cup triumph over Liverpool, but they missed opportunities by drawing with Luton and Cardiff.

Cardiff’s Slide

After a seven-match unbeaten run, Cardiff have taken two of the last 12 available points. Only two teams have amassed fewer expected goals. Their defence is among the worst in the league.

The Welsh club face Burnley and Sunderland after their clash with Hull. Home matches against Luton, Stoke, and Oxford give a clear route to safety, but there’s little margin for error with so many other tough fixtures in the coming weeks.

If Plymouth are able to win a couple more matches, Cardiff are the most likely candidates of the three teams above the drop zone to suffer relegation. It’s worth noting Luton and Derby have been unlucky according to their expected metrics, too, so they could yet put up a fight.

Best bet: Stoke to be relegated (9/2)