By William Hill
Last Updated: 20th November 2019
The group stage of Euro 2020 qualifying is done and dusted. We round up which nations have booked their place at next summer’s tournament and who still has to negotiate the play-offs, which take place in March.
As expected, England secured their place in next summer’s Euro 2020, winning all but one of their qualifying games. The team they lost to, Czech Republic, qualify as runners-up after finishing four points above third-placed Kosovo. Kosovo and Bulgaria both still have the chance to qualify for the tournament next year via the play-offs, with the former able to do so after winning the Nations League Group D3.
Bulgaria make the play-offs are finishing second in Nations League Group C3, while Montenegro’s hopes of qualifying for their first ever Euros have officially been quashed following their elimination.
England have been given a short price on account of their impressive World Cup last year and a great qualifying campaign. Gareth Southgate’s men sit at 9/2 to become European champions next summer.
Reigning champions Portugal have qualified but they could only manage to do so as runners-up. Surprise package Ukraine executed a flawless qualifying run to top the group, finishing undefeated in all eight games. Serbia still have a chance of qualifying through the play-offs as they were Nations League Group C4 winners, while both Luxembourg and Lithuania are eliminated.
Despite winning the trophy last time around, Portugal are as big as 14/1 for back-to-back titles. It’s a tough ask, especially with other nations fielding such strong sides, but there is value in that price as Portugal have the ability to surprise.
Germany look to be finding their form once again as they topped the group after some recent well-publicised struggles. They will be joined in automatic qualification by runners-up Netherlands, who missed out on qualification in 2016 as well as World Cup qualification in 2018.
A 6-1 loss against Germany wasn’t exactly how Northern Ireland would have wanted to conclude their qualifying campaign, but hope is not lost as they are in the play-offs alongside Belarus following their Nations League displays.
Switzerland topped a closely contested Group D, with an undefeated Denmark a point behind. Denmark’s campaign was hindered by the number of draws they racked up, taking just a point from half of their games.
Republic of Ireland narrowly missed out despite only losing one game, but they can qualify through the play-offs as the next best ranked team in League B of the Nations League. Georgia also enter the play-offs as Group D1 winners. The eliminated Gibraltar lost all eight of their games, with a final goal difference of -28.
Both officially qualified teams are outsiders to take the trophy with Switzerland priced at 66/1 and Denmark at 100/1.
Wales’ 2-0 victory over Hungary on the final matchday sent them through to the tournament finals. They finished one and two points ahead of Slovakia and Hungary respectively, who can both fall back on the play-offs.
World Cup finalists Croatia were the team to take top spot after coming from behind to beat Slovakia to qualify automatically. At the polar end of the table finished Azerbaijan, who are eliminated after only managing to take one point throughout the entirety of their group games.
Spain topped off a hugely impressive qualifiers by finishing top with an impressive goal difference of +26. Sweden are still as consistent as ever, allowing them to end as runners-up and to also qualify for next summer. Norway advance to the play-offs after becoming Group C3 winners in the Nations League and are followed by Romania, who were the next best in League C. The Faroe Islands and Malta had their Euro hopes flattened after a miserable qualifying campaign.
Spain’s impressive form has seen them priced at 7/1 for the trophy, which has great value if they can continue in the same vein of form.
It was Poland who ran out table-toppers of Group G, six points ahead of second-placed Austria. The Austrians only needed a point in their penultimate game against North Macedonia to go through and ended up taking all three, which may explain why they then went on to lose 1-0 to Latvia.
North Macedonia and Israel head to the play-offs, while Slovenia and Latvia’s tournament aspirations have come to an end.
Tournament favourites France win their group with Turkey coming in a close runner-up. France are currently 7/2 favourites off the back of their triumphant 2018 World Cup win. Iceland have a second chance of qualifying for the tournament as they were League A’s next best in the Nations League. Albania, Andorra and Moldova are all out of the competition after failing to make an impact.
Belgium and Russia progressed with ease from Group I, with the former helping themselves to top spot before their 6-1 demolition of Cyprus took their qualifying record to 10 wins in as many games. Given that they are the only nation aside from Italy to have taken maximum points, Belgium’s 13/2 outright to take the tournament certainly has value.
Russia only dropped six points to finish in second, leaving Scotland to pin their hopes of a place in the finals on the play-offs.
Italy go through as group victors after winning all 10 of their games and finishing the qualifiers with a 9-1 whipping of Armenia. Finland qualify as runners-up in the group to qualify for their first major tournament, while third-placed Greece are out. Bosnia and Herzegovina, who took fourth, can still qualify through the play-offs as they were the winners of Nations League Group B3. Armenia and Liechtenstein have also been eliminated.
Teams qualified for Euro 2020: Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, England, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Russia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, Wales
Teams in the play-offs: Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Georgia, Hungary, Iceland, Israel, Kosovo, North Macedonia, Northern Ireland, Norway, Republic of Ireland, Romania, Scotland, Slovakia, Serbia