By William Hill
21st January 2019
On first glance, it’s understandable why Lincoln City have been priced up as the 6/5 favourites to be crowned League Two champions midway through January.
The Imps have established a three-point lead at the summit of the fourth tier and also have games in hand over their two closest pursuers.
However, a closer inspection of all things League Two suggests that it’s fourth-placed MK Dons that are the better bet to top the standings at the end of the campaign at 3/1.
This is despite the Dons losing three of their last five league outings.
Reasons to bet against Lincoln
Danny Cowley’s men are not in great form themselves, with only a single win across their last four league fixtures.
However, it’s where they face their main title rivals during their final 20 games of the season which is the biggest deterrent to their chances.
They have six games against their fellow top-seven members remaining and only one of these will take place at Sincil Bank, against current fourth-placed Colchester.
This is bad news on the basis that they have only beaten two of the 14 teams directly below them at present on the road this season, having played eight of them.
But this weekend’s win against Grimsby Town will do their confidence wonders, going into the next few weeks of games.
Reasons to bet on MK Dons
Sir Alex Ferguson once claimed that attack may win you games, but it’s defence that wins titles.
MK Dons have the second-best defensive record in the division behind Mansfield and have now bolstered their ranks further by signing Scotland international Russell Martin.
There was already the feeling that Paul Tisdale had access to the strongest squad in the fourth tier and they possess plenty of firepower too.
Chuks Aneke and Kieran Agard are both on 11 League Two goals apiece – only three players in the entire division have netted more.
Given that the Dons average more shots in the box per game than anyone else, there is no reason to expect the goals to dry up either.
They have netted 11 times across their last three matches and entertain Crewe next, where they’re an accumulator-friendly 4/6 to triumph.
Meanwhile, while Lincoln’s remaining vital fixtures are mainly away, the Dons have theirs at home. Of the three teams above them in the standings, they have two left to face and both must rock up at Stadium MK.