By William Hill
Last Updated: 7th January 2020
On first inspection, Bayern Munich’s defensive numbers don’t look in any way bad across this season.
In the Bundesliga, they’ve shipped 26 in 22 matches, with only fellow top-four clubs Borussia Dortmund, Borussia Monchengladbach and RB Leipzig conceding fewer.
Meanwhile, in qualifying from the group stage of the Champions League they conceded just five times, with three of these coming in their final fixture away at Ajax once they had already qualified for the knockout rounds.
However, there are reasons to believe that Niko Kovac’s team are in for a tough defensive night away at Liverpool in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 clash.
Liverpool are 23/20 to triumph at Anfield and gain the early initiative in the tie, with Bayern’s own Joshua Kimmich among those considering the Premier League outfit as the favourites.
Die Roten’s rearguard ricketiness has intensified since the turn of the year
Bayern’s recent defensive struggles appear to back up this belief, with the reigning Bundesliga champions still waiting for a first clean sheet of 2019. They have conceded 10 goals across their six fixtures in the current calendar year.
This wait appears unlikely to end at Anfield against a Liverpool side who have only been shut out on home soil by Manchester City all season.
Furthermore, Jurgen Klopp’s side are averaging 2.6 goals across their 17 matches in front of the Kop, netting three or more in 10 of these, including in four of their last five.
Will Liverpool score two, three, four or more against Bayern?
Bayern’s last two fixtures have come away from the Allianz Arena and they’ve shipped exactly two in each of them – at Hertha Berlin in the DFB Pokal and then Augsburg in the Bundesliga. The latter are currently languishing just outside the relegation places.
Liverpool are 9/4 to net exactly twice against Bayern.
It’s 9/2 that Klopp watches his side score three goals and it’s already been mentioned that they have been scoring at least this number regularly at Anfield of late.
What’s more, Bayern have let in exactly three in their toughest road trips – at Ajax and at German league leaders Borussia Dortmund when beaten 3-2 in November.
Alternatively, the Reds can be backed at 7/1 to score four or more, as they have against Newcastle, Arsenal and Crystal Palace since Christmas Day.
Golden Goal Promotion
Our Golden Goal promotion will also run on the Anfield encounter, which means that if the team you bet on to win scores the first goal but doesn’t end up victorious, you’ll still be paid out in cash up to £50 regardless of the result.
Bayern are 5/2 to beat Liverpool, with 13/5 the odds on the draw.