By Thomas Reynolds
Last Updated: 31st August 2018
Saturday 25th August
Stadium: Anfield, Liverpool
Live on BT Sport 1 / BT Sport 4K UHD
Liverpool vs Brighton odds
Jurgen Klopp’s side are a mere 1/6 pick for all three points in the Liverpool vs Brighton odds, with the Seagulls a seemingly dead in the water at a projected 18/1 and the draw betting at 11/2.
Both teams to score is a relatively non-committal 21/20, while “no” in the same market is the 7/10 favourite. Goals are a given in the eyes of the William Hill traders, who’ve priced up over 2.5 in this tea-time tantaliser at 4/11.
Liverpool vs Brighton betting tips and predictions
The way the form lines and match betting harmonise for this clash make it nothing less than a crucible upon which some of the football bettor’s most common conceits collide.
Respective recent home and away records suggests there can only be one outcome in the Liverpool vs Brighton odds, a wide-margin home win.
Liverpool have won nine of their last 11 home league games, drawing the other two and keeping clean sheets in their last six. They were last beaten on home turf in top-flight action in April 2017.
Brighton and Hove Albion, meanwhile, accrued the fewest away points and scored the fewest road goals of any club in the division last term.
Yet the Seagulls, who beat Manchester United at the Amex last time out with Pascal Gross and Davy Propper excelling, are a gargantuan 18/1 tip for victory, 19/5 in the double chance odds and a 6/4 pick to win with a +2 goal handicap head start.
As such, the spectre of betting value rears its conscience-nagging bonce, not least since Liverpool put in a more mundane showing against Crystal Palace on Monday, needing a penalty to break the deadlock and only adding a second on the break once their opponents were a man down.
Then there’s the seven draws the Reds sucked up at Anfield in 2017/18, with relegated West Brom and Stoke among the sides to get back on the coach with a point among their washbags and headphones.
Painful isn’t it? Not least since Watford gave us such a timely reminder of the folly of believing streaks will last forever when beating Burnley away last weekend.
Nonetheless, in this Liverpool vs Brighton odds battle between the allure of value and the promise of the bleeding obvious, it’s the latter that looks the more promising path.
Chris Hughton’s men have already illustrated that the night and day divide between their home and away chops from last term remains stark, offering not a single shot on target at Watford on the opening day.
Despite the Seagulls’ strength on their stomping ground, Liverpool thrashed them 5-1 on the south coast last December, besting them by a four-goal margin at Anfield in May.
Handicap odds of 11/10 about the Reds -2 goals or the home win to nil tipping at 17/20 look like the picks of choice for pragmatists/ accumulator punters, while correct score fractions of 17/2 about the Reds’ second-successive 4-0 home win appeal too.
Elsewhere, top four rivals in North London are favourites in the Arsenal vs West Ham odds.
Key players to watch
Sadio Mane is really laying down the gauntlet to Mohamed Salah in the scoring stakes, with three strikes to the Egyptian’s one, yet he remains the first home player available at odds-against in the anytime scorer betting, with Salah, Firmino and even Daniel Sturridge shorter in the market.
If anyone in a Brighton and Hove Albion shirt is to trouble Alisson, then Glenn Murray, responsible for half the side’s away league goals last term, is that man tipped at 10/1 to score last.
However, the absence of Dunk, ever present last term, at the heart of the visitors’ defence should have a more telling effect on his team’s chances than that of any of those who make the XI.
If you fancy some enhanced odds, then Liverpool front man Mohamed Salah To Score, Liverpool To Win, Both Teams To Score – Was betting at 27/10, now at 3/1.
Head to Head
Recent bouts between the two sides have swung entirely in Liverpool’s favour with the Reds coming out on top in each of the last five encounters:
Here’s how their head-to-head record reads: Brighton and Hove Albion 2-3 Liverpool, Brighton and Hove Albion 1-2 Liverpool, Liverpool 6-1 Brighton and Hove Albion, Brighton 1-5 Liverpool, Liverpool 4-0 Brighton.
- Liverpool have defeated Brighton in their previous five matches in all competitions, bagging 20 goals and conceding just five.
- Brighton have lost seven of their nine league trips to Anfield (D1 L1). You have to head back to 1982 for their last victory, a 1-0 win courtesy of an Andy Ritchie goal
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their previous 22 Premier League games at Anfield, winning fourteen and drawing eight. They have kept a clean sheet in the last six home games, and have not made it to seven clean sheets in a row in the prem since nine in-a-row under Rafael Benítez in February 2007
- Brighton haven’t won any of their last 14 Premier League games away from home (D4 L10), with the Seagulls failing to notch in 10 of those matches, including 0-4 loss to the Reds at Anfield in May