By William Hill
Last Updated: 4th February 2020
In the week when Manchester City scored five goals or more in a league game for the 21st time since Manchester United last did so, we’re starting to wonder whether the Reds are set to ship as many to their ‘noisy neighbours’ for the first time since that moniker’s inaugurator was at the helm.
Even in the immediate trough that followed their near 27-year Sir Alex Ferguson peak, United only lost their two top-flight clashes with City under David Moyes 4-1 and 0-3.
Since then, the Old Trafford side haven’t been beaten in a derby by more than a single goal, despite having finished below their rivals every season.
Pep Guardiola’s hosts are trading at odds of 13/2 to score over 4.5 goals against the Red Devils for the first time since their tide-turning 6-1 Old Trafford romp in 2011. Here’s why the bet cops.
The Juventus warm-up
Hardly the kind of Wednesday engagement you’d want in a week in which you’re building up to a Manchester derby.
Leave something in the tank for the Etihad and the Red Devils could get handed a confidence-crushing run-around in a match they’re 13/20 to lose in Italy. Go all out in the hopes of avoiding a potential trip through the Europa League trapdoor and risk being beleaguered for their Sunday sojourn with the Citizens.
United’s iffy road defence
Jose Mourinho’s men have already conceded more than half as many away league goals as they did across all 18 road games last season, despite having contested just six such games.
Revenge and atonement should be on the City agenda
The Etihad outfit passed up the chance to win the league against United in front of their own supporters in April despite going two-up inside half an hour and spurning numerous other chances.
Before they transmogrified into footballing blancmange in the second half, a valedictory thumping had been in the offing and delayed gratification will surely be on the minds of the players, the manager and the supporters.
That rollover meant City haven’t beaten the Reds on home turf since the madcap Old Trafford reign of Louis van Gaal. They’re just 4/11 to do just that in the match betting.