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Premier League Betting Preview: Is the title race over?
It was a pivotal weekend in the Premier League as Liverpool extended their lead at the top of the table to 11 points. Can anyone stop them from lifting the title in May?
After Arsenal fell to a 1-0 home defeat to West Ham on Saturday, goals from Mohamed Salah and Dominik Szoboszlai sealed the Reds’ 2-0 win over Man City at the Etihad.
This week, they host Newcastle on Wednesday evening. December’s reverse fixture finished 3-3 at St James’ Park.
Elsewhere, the midweek round of games sees Arsenal face top-four rivals Nottingham Forest and Spurs host Man City. At the bottom, all three teams in the relegation zone are on the road looking to turn their fortunes around.
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Now, let’s take a closer look at some betting angles for three top-flight games:
Nottingham Forest vs. Arsenal – Wednesday, 26th February @ 19:30
- Forest have won five of their last six Premier League home games (D1).
- Nuno Espirito Santo’s side have only kept one clean sheet in their last six league games. They’ve conceded 14 goals in that run.
- Wood has been involved in six goals in his last three Premier League home games (5 goals, 1 assist).
- Arsenal have won seven of their last eight Premier League games against Forest (L1).
- The Gunners have also won 12 of their last 13 evening kick-offs (19:00 or later) in the Premier League, including their last nine in a row.
- Arsenal have had five red cards in the Premier League this season, more than any other side.
Spurs vs. Man City – Wednesday, 26th February @ 19:30
- Spurs have already beaten City twice this season, in the league and EFL Cup. They are looking to do the league double over City for the first time since 2021/22.
- Son has provided nine assists in the Premier League this season. Only in 2019/20, 2020/21 and 2023/24 has he provided more in a single campaign in the competition (10 each time).
- BTTS has landed in six of Spurs’ last eight Premier League games
- City have failed to win any of their last three Premier League away games against London sides (D2 L1).
- Johnson netted twice in eight minutes as Spurs beat Ipswich 4-1 at Portman Road on Saturday.
- Foden has scored six goals in his last seven Premier League appearances.
Liverpool vs. Newcastle – Wednesday, 26th February @ 20:15
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 28 against the Magpies at Anfield in the competition (W23 D5).
- The Reds have also won each of their last 12 midweek league matches by an aggregate score of 35-6.
- Salah has scored four goals in his last two Premier League games against Newcastle, netting a brace in both.
- Four of Dan Burn’s seven yellow cards this season have come in away games.
- Liverpool have scored at least twice in each of their last 17 home games in all competitions.
- BTTS has landed in four of the last five league meetings between Liverpool and Newcastle.
- Isak has scored 10 away goals in the Premier League this season – only Andrew Cole (12 in 1993/94) and Alan Shearer (11 in 2001/02) have netted more on the road in a single campaign for Newcastle.
- Only Spurs (194), Man City (192) and Aston Villa (174) have taken more corners than Liverpool (173) this season. The Reds are averaging 6.4 per game, while Newcastle are just below them at 5.8.
