By William Hill
21st September 2018
Although we’re only five games into the current top-flight season, the Premier League relegation odds suggest that two teams already look shoo-ins to finish in the bottom three in May. Below, we’ll assess the reasoning behind these odds and which other teams may find themselves in danger of finishing in the bottom three at the climax of the 38-game Premier League season.
Cardiff Premier League relegation odds
Cardiff are priced at 1/3 in the Premier League relegation market, with Huddersfield almost equally as short at 4/9.
Defying unlikely odds are nothing new to Cardiff, with manager Neil Warnock previously pointing out that they were 33/1 to finish in the play-offs last season in the Championship, before chasing home Wolves and gaining automatic promotion.
However, the Bluebirds have only accrued two points so far and that is despite a relatively kind start, facing Bournemouth, Newcastle and Huddersfield in their first three matches.
Their fate could be known by early December, with Burnley, Fulham, Leicester, Brighton, Wolves and Southampton all visitors in six of their next seven home games. A failure to win at least half of these is likely to result in their Premier League relegation odds plummeting further.
Cardiff finished bottom in their only prior Premier League season and they’re currently an appealing 6/4 to do so again.
Huddersfield Premier League relegation odds
Finishing 16th last season was a major achievement for the Terriers in their first Premier League campaign, particularly as they failed to score in 21 of their 38 fixtures.
However, finding the net has again proved a problem this term, with their two goals so far coming via a long throw and a corner.
Huddersfield’s goal conversion rate of 5% through five matches is the worst of the 20 Premier League teams. No team has fired in fewer goal attempts and only Cardiff have hit the target less frequently, and only Fulham have conceded more than David Wagner’s men too. Struggling to score goals and shipping them at the other end is an obvious double act when it comes to guaranteeing Premier League relegation.
If you fancy Huddersfield to stay up for the second season in succession, they can be backed at a 7/4 pick to do in the To Stay Up market.
Premier League relegation odds: The best bets from the rest
No other teams are currently odds-on in the Premier League relegation odds and a case could be made for a handful struggling to ensure their top-flight survival.
Burnley are 11/10 to go down and have already conceded over 100 goal attempts in five fixtures.
Fulham lead the Premier League for giving up both more shots in the box and more shots on target than anyone else. However, they do have more of a goal threat at the other end than most of their relegation rivals in Aleksandar Mitrovic.
Last season’s Championship play-off winners are 9/2 to go down.
Newcastle are the weakest in terms of going the longest number of minutes without creating a scoring chance. Rafa Benitez’ men are 3/1 to be relegated, but only face Man Utd of the Big Six in their next 10 games.
This is in stark contrast to Southampton, who arguably have the most difficult upcoming fixture list in the entire division.
They have away trips to Liverpool, Man City and Tottenham in their next 10, alongside hosting Chelsea and Man Utd at St Mary’s, where they’ve won just once in 14 top-flight matches. In terms of Premier League relegation betting value, the Saints are the standouts at 9/2.
Why not a place a punt based on our Liverpool vs Southampton predictions?