By Anis Bazza
27th September 2018
Real Madrid host cross-town derby rivals Atletico Madrid on Saturday in the first Madrid league derby of the La Liga season. Los Blancos entertain Diego Simeone’s side on a late Saturday evening at the Bernabeu with Atleti already languishing two points behind Real.
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid: Odds and predictions
Los Blancos are the trader’s favourites for this match-up with their odds priced at 11/10 in the betting with Atleti’s odds placed at an 12/5 pick.
A sharing of the spoils of war between the Madrid sides is betting at a 12/5 tip, but our projection in our Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid predictions is for all three points to be claimed by Real.
New head coach Julen Lopetegui started life well at the Bernabeu, picking up four wins and one draw in his first five La Liga games and swatting aside last season’s Champions League semi-finalists Roma 3-0 in Europe.
A shocking 3-0 defeat to Sevilla yesterday evening however has put a damper on what was a bright start to the season.
Club talisman and all-time record goal-scorer Cristiano Ronaldo – as well as iconic coach Zinedine Zidane – departed for pastures new over the summer but so far Real have coped without them.
In the wake of Ronaldo’s exit, club president Florentino Perez and Lopetegui opted not to directly replace Ronaldo, instead giving players like Gareth Bale and Marco Asensio the opportunity to claim this team as their own.
Los Colchoneros meanwhile have started the season slow and steady, drawing at Valencia before succumbing to a 2-0 defeat at Celta Vigo but consequently picking up points to climb up to third in the table.
Simeone’s side beat Real Madrid 4-2 in emphatic fashion to win the UEFA Super Cup back in August and were tipped to challenge for La Liga and the Champions League but find themselves two points behind Barcelona and Real Madrid who both suffered defeats on Tuesday.
The summer signings of Monaco’s Thomas Lemar, Celta Vigo full-back Jonny, Villarreal’s Rodri and Nikola Kalinic from AC Milan has given their side strength in depth but Atleti’s best business of the summer might be keeping hold of Antoine Griezmann.
Atletico forward, Angel Correa commented on the match, staying:
“The Madrid derby will be very intense. I think the little details will decide it. We hope to bring the victory home.”
Head-to-head (Most recent first): Real Madrid 2-4 Atlético Madrid, Real Madrid 1-1 Atlético Madrid, Atlético Madrid 0-0 Real Madrid, Atlético Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid, Real Madrid 3-0 Atlético Madrid, Real Madrid 1-1 Atlético Madrid.
Why not read our Champions League Top Scorer predictions?
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid: Predictions, scorer, best bet
Despite putting four past Real Madrid in the UEFA Super Cup, Atletico have struggled to keep the goals rolling, managing ten goals in the seven games with three of those coming in the 3-0 victory over Huesca yesterday evening.
Real Madrid in contrast scored 15 goals in six games before they lost to Sevilla with the goals being evenly distributed around Gareth Bale, Karim Benzema and Marcos Asensio. With just the two clean sheets in La Liga so far this season however, Los Blancos are suspectible to conceding a goal or two.
That’s why our betting prediction is Real Madrid to win but both teams to score, with those odds trading at a 13/5 tip.
Predicted goal-scorer: Gareth Bale to score 2 or more goals, betting at 6/1
Gareth Bale is undoubtedly the main man at Real Madrid now that Cristiano Ronaldo has departed the club. Lopetegui has largely placed his faith in Real’s existing forwards and has built the team around the Welshman.
With five goals and three assists in for club and country this season, Bale is putting the past injury-ravaged years behind to kick on and re-establish himself as one of the world’s best players.
With a superb 7.68 average ‘WhoScored’ rating, Bale is proving his all-round game is just as complete as his finishing and we’re making him our betting tip to score 2 or more goals against Atleti in our Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid predictions at 6/1.
Anis grew up supporting Manchester City but found joy and solace across Europe’s major football leagues. Increasingly passionate about NBA, he is interested in and has written extensively about different aspects of sport across the years, previously working at Sky Sports News and Sport360 newspaper in Dubai. He studied Journalism at University but spent a large portion of his academic years building City Watch instead - the largest independent Manchester City Twitter account and website.