By William Hill
Last Updated: 14th September 2018
- Monday 17th September
- Kick-off: 20:00
- Stadium: St Mary’s, Southampton
- Live on TV: Sky Sports Premier League / Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Ultra HD
Southampton vs Brighton predictions: odds and team news
Mark Hughes’ men are EVS favourites for victory in the Southampton vs Brighton odds, with the Seagulls tipped 11/4 for their first away league win since last November and the draw betting at 12/5.
Shane Long is the sole injury doubt for the Saints, which will mean that Southampton may have to go into Monday’s game without him.
Meanwhile, Brighton aren’t certain to be able to call upon influential midfielder Pascal Gross, while winger Jose Izquierdo and striker Florin Andone are also likely to be unavailable for Chris Hughton’s men, as is veteran full-back Bruno.
Southampton and their guests are currently 5/1 and 7/2 in the Premier League betting to be relegated respectively, so picking up as many points as possible will be crucial.
Head-to-head (most recent first): Brighton 0-1 Southampton, Southampton 1-1 Brighton, Brighton 1-1 Southampton, Brighton 3-0 Southampton, Southampton 3-0 Brighton, Brighton 1-2 Southampton.
For more advice, tips and guides for betting on this weekend’s Premier League action, visit our football accumulator article.
Free Premier League betting tips: Southampton vs Brighton predictions
Monday night should offer a fascinating insight into what happens when a team that’s horrendous at home hosts a side that are appalling away.
The Saints were the second-worst home side in the Premier League last term, failing to win 21 of their last 25 top tier games on their own patch and losing 11 of those fixtures.
Brighton, meanwhile, were rock-bottom of the 2017/18 top-flight away table and have now gone 15 top flight road trips without a win, with 11 of those away days ending in defeat.
Our Southampton vs Brighton odds hinge upon nobody, not even football, being the winner in this encounter.
Bet on a third successive league draw between two sides that recorded the highest and joint-second highest amount of stalemates in the division during the previous campaign.
Score Prediction: The draw @ 11/4
The hosts have kept only two clean sheets in their last 15 Premier League home games, being breached when Brighton last weighed anchor at St Mary’s.
Similarly, the Seagulls have conceded in 13 of their past 15 top-flight road trips and, with both sides bagging less than once per league game on average in 2017/18, a low-scoring draw is most favoured among our Southampton vs Brighton predictions.
With the draw/under 2.5 goals in the ‘match x goals’ betting not a great deal more seductive than the straight stalemate odds of 27/10, a repeat of last season’s home and away scorelines between the clubs is the tip.
Betting Recommendation: Glenn Murray to score any time @ 9/5
Having highlighted the Saints’ inability to keep clean sheets in front of the St Mary’s faithful in recent times, the scene seems set for goal-poacher extraordinaire Glenn Murray. He becomes the latest installment in our Southampton vs Brighton predictions and will be hard to contain.
The Cumbrian colossus has already helped himself to three goals in four games for Brighton this term and has previous for thorning Southampton sides after bagging home and away against them last season.
Southampton vs Brighton stats: Powered by Opta
- Southampton have won just four of their last 25 Premier League home games.
- Brighton are winless in their last 15 away games in the division.
- Glenn Murray scored half of Brighton’s 10 top flight away goals last term.