By Thomas Reynolds
4th October 2018
Southampton must end a streak of 25 Premier League games without a victory against ‘big six’ opponents if they’re to claim a first home win since April in front of the Sky Sports cameras against Chelsea this Sunday.
Sadly for them, the Blues are unbeaten in nine under new manager Maurizio Sarri and are unlikely to be unduly affected by a midweek home Europa League tie against Hungarian small fry MOL Vidi.
Southampton vs Chelsea: The match betting odds
At first glance, match betting tips of 63/100 about an away win may seem disappointingly short, but the hosts have won just five of their last 30 Premier League home games.
Mark Hughes’ men are our 17/4 pick to add to that tally, but Saints-sympathetic punters may feel a draw is a far more realistic target given 12 of the 25 games they failed to win during that sequence saw the hosts claim a point.
Sadly, the St Mary’s side has shipped at least twice in five of their last six top-flight outings, illustrating defensive shortcomings that our Southampton vs Chelsea predictions will aim to exploit every bit as ruthlessly as the west Londoners.
Most recent articles:
- Chelsea were held to a 1-1 draw by Liverpool at Anfield
- An empowered Wolves side defeated Southampton
Head-to-head (most recent first): Chelsea 2-0 Southampton, Southampton 2-3 Chelsea, Chelsea 1-0 Southampton, Chelsea 4-2 Southampton, Southampton 0-2 Chelsea, Southampton 1-2 Chelsea.
Southampton vs Chelsea match bets: Best bet, scorer, match tips
Best bet: Chelsea (-1) to win, with odds @ 8/5
Can the Blues chisel out the (at least) two goals required to land the first of our Southampton predictions? Brighton could – and the 2017/18 Premier League campaign’s worst away team have failed to score in any of their other top-flight away games this season.
Have the Stamford Bridge side got the repellent qualities to shut out Danny Ings and friends in their backyard? They limited Premier League leaders Liverpool to one goal twice in four days last week.
Against hosts averaging less than a goal a game in the Premier League this term, scoring twice should be enough to have Chelsea land the first pick in our Southampton vs Chelsea predictions, something they’ve managed in two of their three top-tier road games under Sarri to date.
Predicted Scorer: Olivier Giroud to score last, betting @ 4/1
The amply-posteriored near-post flick expert has been Kryptonite to the south coast club over the last couple of seasons, bagging in each of his past four clashes with the Saints (three goals in two games for the Blues, two in two for Arsenal).
On three of those occasions, he notched the last goal of proceedings after coming on as a substitute. If Giroud is in the starting XI, swap this Southampton vs Chelsea betting tip for identical odds about him opening the scoring.
The last goalscorer scorecast prediction: Giroud to score last and Chelsea to win 2-0, tipped @ 28/1
The last of our Southampton vs Chelsea picks combine the jist of the previous two in one extravagantly-priced package.
Giroud has bagged more often against the Saints than any other side and won seven of his 12 meetings with them, including three of the past four.
Odds of 28/1 are also available in our Southampton vs Chelsea predictions about the Frenchman notching first in a 2-0 win and if he starts the game, this would be the route to take.
The former Montpellier and Arsenal target man has been subbed off in the 65th minute of two of the three matches he’s started this term.
Southampton vs Chelsea stats: Opta
- The Saints are winless in 25 Premier League meetings with ‘big six’ opponents (D7 L18), since beating Liverpool, Man City and Spurs in three consecutive such games in the 2015/16 season.
- St Mary’s boss Hughes has lost his last six matches against Chelsea in all competitions, including both as Saints boss.
- His opposite number, Sarri, could become the sixth manager to remain unbeaten in his first eight Premier League games, after Frank Clark (first 11), John Lyall, Peter Taylor, Jose Mourinho, and Luiz Felipe Scolari (first eight).
- Southampton have only won one of their last 13 Premier League games played on a Sunday (D7 L5), beating Everton 4-1 in November 2017.