By Maryam Naz
28th December 2018
The end of the 2018 footballing calendar has not been a good one for Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City. Consecutive defeats to Crystal Palace and Leicester City has seen them usurped from their beloved top spot into third place, one point behind the resurgent Tottenham Hotspurs. They now face Ralph Hasenhuttl’s Southampton as their last opponents of the year and will have to graft if they are to bounce back from their recent losses.
Southampton vs Man City: odds and predictions
The Citizens are wagering as 32/100 favourites in our Southampton vs Man City predictions and betting tips, while the Saints are projected as 17/2 underdogs, with the odds about a draw playing out registering at 17/4.
Given that the Saints are coming off the back off consecutive wins against Arsenal and Huddersfield, the mood at St Mary’s has been buoyant. But Manchester City are a completely different calibre of opposition, with a whole host of deadly, attacking options available to take apart this Southampton side.
If Gabriel Jesus doesn’t score in a game, then Riyad Mahrez takes up the mantle instead, and if not Riyad Mahrez, then Sergio Aguero. Indeed, the Argentinian poses a more significant threat to the Saints than the other City players, considering that he has scored four goals in his last eight games against them and is trading as a 14/5 pick to do so again.
But take a peruse of the Saints recent performances and you’ll realise that they too possess a potent offensive line-up. Leading the charge is Charlie Austin, who’s winning goal in the dying moments of the game against Arsenal two weeks ago proved his adeptness in front of goal. Given the right opportunity, the Englishman won’t fail to convert his chances.
Not far behind are Nathan Redmond and Shane Long. The dynamic duo have proved to be a thorn in City’s side in recent games in this fixture. One only has to go back to May this year for the memory of Long hounding Nikolas Otamendi and co to resurface.
So yes, Man City may appear to be the stronger outfit on paper, but browse our match bets below to find out why we think it won’t be a stroll in the St Mary’s park for Pep’s boys.
Southampton vs Man City head-to-head (most recent first) Man City 6-1 Southampton, Southampton 0-1 Man City, Man City 2-1 Southampton, Southampton 0-3 Man City, Man City 1-1 Southampton.
Southampton vs Man City match betting: score, best bet, scorer tips
Predicted score: Man City to win 2-1, trading @ 15/2
Given that the Citizens have won their last four Premier League games against Southampton by an aggregate score of 12-2, the first of our Southampton vs Man City predictions and betting tips sways in the favour of an away win.
It won’t be easy for Man City playing against a side managed by the wily Hasenhuttl. Combined with the fact that they’ll be without key players Fernandinho and Fabian Delph, due to injury and suspension, there could be plenty of room for the Saints to exploit in midfield.
Nevertheless, the Sky Blues still look as if they have too much firepower for the home team, and odds of 15/2 about a 2-1 win for City might be the safest match bet to punt on.
The 26-year-old could lend a helping hand to his former employers Liverpool with a goal against the Citizens this Sunday.
The second instalment of our Southampton vs Man City predictions and betting tips are projecting him to do exactly that. Given that he has already bagged seven goals this season upon his move from Merseyside to Hampshire, Ings’ runs in-behind the back four could be the key to unlocking the City defence.
Aside from his attacking attributes, the Englishman’s pressing and defensive work, perhaps a skill picked up from his Liverpool days under Jurgen Klopp, has also led to goals being scored due to possession being won high up the pitch.
Considering that the Pep usually enforces a tactical system that plays out from the back, the 26-year-old could force a defensive mistake leading to a goal.
Predicted scorer: Raheem Sterling our pick to score first, odds forecast @ 4/1
The young Englishman has been making all the right headlines on the pitch with his recent goalscoring form.
The last of our Southampton vs Man City predictions and betting tips are wagering that he’ll add to his tally against the Saints this Sunday, considering that he’s already been directly involved in 10 goals in his last 10 Premier League appearances against his opponents (6 goals, 4 assists).
Southampton vs Man City stats: Opta
- Southampton have won just one of their last 11 Premier League meetings with Manchester City (D2 L8), winning 4-2 in this exact fixture in the 2015-16 campaign.
- Southampton have never lost five consecutive league games against Manchester City. They also haven’t suffered three consecutive home league defeats against the Citizens since April 1994.
- Manchester City striker Sergio Aguero has scored four goals and assisted four more in his last eight Premier League games against Southampton.
Maryam is a female football writer, who grew up playing a wide variety of sport. She slowly became converted as a lover of football around the age of 10, and her interest in it drove her to pursue it not only physically, but also academically. In her first year of college she cemented a placement at the Independent, whom she worked for before branching out to Premier League-accredited sites like the female-led 'Offside Rule' blog and RealSport. She studied English at University alongside this, and is now a digital copy-writer and editor, specialising in sports journalism.