By Thomas Strong
10th September 2018
- Tuesday 11th September
- Kick-off: 19:45
- Stadium: Estadio Martinez Valero, Elche
- Live on Sky Sports Premier League
The UEFA Nations League favourites take on the World Cup runners-up, with Elche’s Estadio Martinez Valero the venue for the showdown. Here’s our Spain vs Croatia predictions…
Spain vs Croatia predictions: England to be left stranded on zero points
In the red corner, Spain haven’t suffered an international defeat since June 2016, a run that hit 25 games when they beat England 2-1 at Wembley in their League A Group 4 opener.
In the blue (and black) corner, Croatia’s sole loss in nine came against France in the World Cup final, and their competitive figures are even better – one reverse in 11.
Four of Zlatko Dalic’s men’s last five contests were level after 90 minutes, including their latest in Portugal, and La Furia Roja have drawn six of their last 10 encounters too.
Consequently, William Hill’s Spain vs Croatia odds point to a draw priced at 13/5 as the likely outcome. If you disagree, the hosts are tipped at 4/6, with the runners-up in Russia betting as 9/2 outsiders.
Head-to-head (most recent first): Croatia 2-1 Spain, Croatia 0-1 Spain, Spain 2-1 Croatia, Croatia 0-0 Spain, Spain 3-1 Croatia, Spain 0-2 Croatia
For more advice, tips and guides got betting on this weekend’s Premier League action, visit our football accumulator article.
Free betting tips: Spain vs Croatia predictions
Prediction: Spain 1-1 Croatia @ 11/2 odds
Four of the visitors’ last five fixtures were 1-1 after 90 minutes, making that a Spain vs Croatia betting standout at odds of 11/2.
The previous six meetings between these nations delivered a smidgeon over two goals a game – 2.17 strikes apiece to be precise.
Scorer: Ivan Perisic to score betting @ 18/5
Mario Mandzukic has retired from Croatia duty, so how soothing must coach Dalic find it that Perisic has stepped up his scoring.
The Inter wide forward already had a decent international strike rate, but five goals since June, including efforts in each of their last three outings against the accomplished trio of England, France and Portugal have taken him to a new level.
The 29-year-old has to be seen as a value candidate at Spain vs Croatia odds of 18/5.
Best Bet: Both teams to score in the first half tipped @ 9/2
Four of Croatia’s last five matches saw both them and their opponents find the net before half time, including last week’s trip to Portugal.
There wasn’t a clean sheet in sight by the 39th minute in any of the four clashes in question, with it happening as early as the fourth minute against Denmark.
It’s also been a feature of Spain’s last three games, as well as their most recent showdown with the Blazers at Euro 2016, taking just 13 minutes to occur against England on Saturday.
It’s therefore the pick of our Spain vs Croatia predictions at UEFA Nations League odds of 9/2.
Spain vs Croatia stats
- A potent trend for in-play bettors – the opening goal was equalised in Croatia’s last six matches.
- In three of their last five fixtures, that leveller came within 10 minutes of the opener.
- The opening goal in Luis Enrique’s side’s last three assignments came between 11 and 20 minutes, with five strikes in total coming within that bracket in that triple header.