By Craig Kemp
Last Updated: 2nd May 2019
Who remembers late April 2014 when Steven Gerrard slipped, Demba Ba ran through on goal, scored and sent Chelsea on the way to a 2-0 victory at Anfield?
The defeat not only ended Liverpool’s 11-game winning sequence, but meant that winning the title was no longer in the hands of Brendan Rodgers’ men. They eventually finished second, two points shy of Manchester City.
Fast forward five years and a few days and Liverpool are back in a similar position. With two games of the campaign remaining, the Reds are a single point behind the Citizens.
Pep Guardiola’s team must drop points if Liverpool are to win a first title in the Premier League era and this is where Rodgers comes in.
Liverpool’s odds are 7/2 in the Premier League outright betting
Rodgers getting his redemption with Leicester
Up next for Man City is a home fixture with Leicester, the team currently managed by Rodgers.
Should Liverpool win at Newcastle, any sort of positive result for the Foxes two days later at the Etihad would hand the initiative back in favour of the Reds.
Leicester either winning or drawing with Man City in the double chance market is priced up at 4/1. Alternatively, it’s 18/1 that Rodgers’ men leave with all three points. And there are reasons to believe that Leicester can secure a positive result.
Since Rodgers’ dugout debut in the 2-1 defeat at Watford, Leicester have played eight league games. Only Liverpool have scored more than their 17 goals in this period.
Meanwhile, only Man City have registered more shots on target in these eight games (54 for City and 49 for Leicester). Over 3.5 goals at the Etihad can be backed at 4/5.
In the same eight-fixture period, Leicester have also done well at the other end. Their eight goals conceded ranks them in the top five of the top flight for this statistic, while only the two title chasers perform better for attempts conceded in the box.
Leicester have shown attacking threat and defensively solidarity since appointing Rodgers and although his standing at Liverpool is more than amicable, should he take points at the Etihad, the gratitude levels towards him will certainly climb another peg or two on Merseyside.