By William Hill
Last Updated: 7th January 2020
Borussia Dortmund might be putting Bayern Munich to shame in the Bundesliga, but Tottenham have won 19 of their last 25 games and are worthy 13/10 favourites to win this Champions League round-of-16 first leg.
The tie comes at the perfect time for Spurs, who have returned to form with three straight victories just as their visitors have suffered a triple whammy of domestic setbacks.
A bolder and bigger price to ponder is the 7/2 that Mauricio Pochettino’s men score over 2.5 goals. There are several reasons to buy into it:
The Dortmund defence is in disarray
The Bundesliga pacesetters did a Sheffield United on Saturday, surrendering a 3-0 lead late on, only their collapse came at home, with the three concessions arriving in the closing 16 minutes against Hoffenheim.
It was the second match in five days that they shipped three in, exiting the DFB-Pokal on penalties after being breached three times in 120 minutes by Werder Bremen.
Lucien Favre’s side are clean-sheet-less in four fixtures and have mustered just one in eight over a wider period. It’s a far cry from their Champions League group stage sturdiness (five shutouts in six).
Tottenham aren’t shy on Champions League nights at Wembley
Spurs have an excellent Champions League scoring record. They’ve struck in 16 on the spin and fired at least twice in 10 of their last 15 clashes in the competition.
Most importantly, they netted three or more goals in four of their last eight Champions League encounters at Wembley.
Teams they’ve stuck three past at home include Real Madrid, CSKA Moscow and of course Dortmund themselves, who left north London nursing a 3-1 defeat a mere 17 months ago.
BVB lost 2-1 when they hosted the Lilywhites last term too.
Spurs feel no pain without Harry Kane
Injury to Harry Kane might’ve looked like a potentially decisive factor in this tie four weeks ago but, six matches later, it’s clear Tottenham have adapted well to the forward’s absence.
They’ve only failed to score in one of the eight contests he’s missed this season, striking at least twice in five of them.
Those numbers are even more impressive when you consider just two of those Kane-less assignments were at Wembley. They grabbed five goals in those, including three against Leicester on Sunday.
Son Heung-min scored in each of his last four Spurs appearances with the England captain sidelined and each of his last three meetings with Dortmund.
He’s 6/5 to find the net and 4/1 to be last goalscorer for the third fixture running.