Portugal v Spain: Nations League Final Predictions & Tips (2025)

The 2025 Nations League final brings us a tantalising Iberian Derby after a pair of enthralling semi-finals took place on Wednesday and Thursday.

Spain and Portugal have won a Nations League title apiece, winning the competition in 2023 and 2019, respectively. Spain were also runners-up in 2021, making them the first team to reach the Nations League final on three occasions.

This fixture always attracts plenty of live betting interest, whether it’s a qualifier, friendly, or in the knockout stages of a major tournament.

This time, there’s silverware on offer, heightening the stakes further for one of international football’s most significant, highest-profile rivalries.

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Let’s take a look at the best football betting options for this clash on Sunday evening.

Portugal vs Spain, Sunday 8pm

• Spain are reigning European champions and won the previous edition of the Nations League.
• Portugal won this competition in 2019, but didn’t reach the semi-finals in 2021 or 2023.
• Cristiano Ronaldo (seven) is the top goal scorer in UEFA Nations League A. It is the most goals any League A player has got in a single Nations League campaign, breaking the record set by Romelu Lukaku and Ferran Torres (six) in 2020-21.
• Portugal have only won six out of 40 Iberian Derby matches. Spain have a win and a draw in the two previous Nations League meetings.
• We have to go back to Euro 2004 – in Lisbon – for the last time Portugal got the better of Spain in a competitive match.
• A grand total of three goals have been scored across the last four matches, with Spain keeping three clean sheets in that period.
• After taking a 4-0 lead over France, Spain held off a spirited comeback to win their semi-final 5-4.
• Portugal came from behind to beat Germany 2-1 thanks to goals from Cristiano Ronaldo and Francisco Conceicao.
• Having never beaten Spain outside of Portugal, La Roja are the deserving favourites for this match. They have been the best team in the world over the last 18 months and should get the job done on Sunday.
• The high-scoring nature of the semi-finals means we are overlooking the low goal tallies in previous Iberian Derbies.

Nations League Final Best Bet: Spain to win and both teams to score (12/5)

Nations League Final Score Prediction: Portugal 1-3 Spain.