By Thomas Reynolds
Last Updated: 10th October 2018
Wales and Spain warm up for their upcoming UEFA Nations League engagements with a friendly match at the Principality Stadium, but the hosts could be without Real Madrid maestro Gareth Bale for this encounter in front of the Sky Sports and S4C cameras.
Wales vs Spain: Odds and Predictions
La Roja are trading at odds of 8/15 for victory in Cardiff, with Wales 24/5 to condemn Luis Enrique’s side to their first defeat in 27 matches and the draw betting at a substantial 16/5.
With the visitors also unbeaten in 17 matches away from home (discounting those played at championship finals), winning 11 of those, our Wales vs Spain predictions are chiefly concerned with finding a decent value method of opposing the hosts in the betting.
Bale came off with a groin issue in Los Blancos’ weekend league defeat to Alaves and may not be risked in this encounter even if recovered, with Ryan Giggs’ men looking forward to a Nations League clash against the Republic of Ireland in Dublin five days later.
Even before the blow of potentially losing their sole world-class player (apologies Aaron Ramsey), the Dragons have failed to win any of their last nine friendlies.
Spain, who blew away Croatia 6-0 in their last outing, will be widely predicted to walk this should Bale fail to recover in time.
Head-to-head (most recent first): Wales 3-0 Spain, Spain 3-0 Wales, Spain 1-1 Wales, Spain 1-1 Wales, Wales 1-2 Spain
Wales vs Spain predictions: Betting tips, anytime scorer, first half goals
Wales vs Spain best bet: Spain to win two nil, trading @ 7/5
Surprisingly for a side of the 2010 World Cup winners’ quality, away games (when the onus is on the hosts to attack at least to some degree) haven’t seemed to have resulted in a greater degree of freedom for their legions of skilful attacking players.
Alongside the six draws they’ve been held to over their past 17 road assignments, seven of their 11 victories have come by a one-goal margin, with all bar one of the remainder secured by two clear strikes.
However, while that speaks of an attack that has been subdued on their travels, it also hints at a reliable rearguard – they’ve conceded more than once in only three of their last 17 games outside Spain (not including European Championships of World Cup finals).
With the Dragons failing to notch in four of their past five friendlies and likely missing Bale, responsible for 11 goals-worth of strikes and assists in his last 11 internationals, a La Roja win without conceding at the Principality Stadium is a favourite among our Wales vs Spain predictions.
Anytime scorecast group betting prediction: Rodrigo to score and Spain to win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 @ 24/5
The former Bolton Wanderers loanee had struck twice in nine internationals before the arrival of Enrique, but he’s doubled that tally inside two caps under Julen Lopetegui’s permanent dugout successor.
A goal and an assist advertised Rodrigo’s emancipation under the new broom against England at Wembley and he’s tipped to strike again for his backers in landing a narrow margin win for Spain and our Wales vs Spain predictions.
First half total goals prediction: Over 1.5 first-half goals @ 2/1
Spain had their business handled before the oranges against Gareth Southgate’s side in their last away game, scoring twice as part of a three-goal opening period.
Each of their last three internationals away from their homeland (and significant tournaments) saw at least a brace of strikes netted before the break and we’re tipping a repeat in Wales vs Spain as our final pick.
Wales vs Spain stats: Opta
- La Roja are undefeated in their last 26 matches in all competitions (W17 D9), a run spanning over two years (they last lost vs Italy in June 2016).
- Spain have won 10 and lost none of their last 16 away matches (D6), scoring in 15 of those games.
- Wales’ Gareth Bale has been directly involved in 11 goals in his last 11 appearances for the national team (eight goals, three assists).