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Nick Luck

Nick Luck’s blog: Falcon can soar to victory in Royal Mile

2 years ago
| BY News Team

The ITV cameras head to Musselburgh and Haydock on Saturday for some competitive action and here are Nick’s Luck fancies on both cards.

Musselburgh

HAYADH looks a bit of value at 9/1 in Musselburgh’s TV opener on Saturday (1.50pm). He is generally pretty consistent, goes well here and can be readily forgiven his final run of last season when the ground was too soft. Most importantly, he has an excellent record off a break and this looks a very realistic start to the campaign.

FOREST FALCON can win the Royal Mile (2.25pm) at 5/2. A less competitive edition than sometimes, it may be ripe for a horse to dictate from the front and – if allowed the sort of lead he established at Yarmouth last backend – Mark Johnston’s horse will be pretty hard to peg back around this track. Everything about this horse’s pedigree suggests that he’ll be a better three-year-old and he looks very well handicapped.

ZARZYNI shaped beautifully on his first start for David Barron and can build on that in a good sprint handicap (3.00pm). The one worry on that run at Wolverhampton was that it might be a bit sharp for him, but he showed loads of speed and a touch of keenness, so it’s easy to understand why connections are having a dart at a fast run five furlongs. He’s an 11/2 chance.

INDIANAPOLIS looks a very tempting prospect for his good new yard in the Queen’s Cup (3.35pm). He was a little inconsistent last year, but a conventional 14 furlongs seems to be his bag, and he’s a strong stayer at this trip, so the presence of several front runners will be perfect. He looks well treated now (has won off higher) and can run well off a break at 12/1.

Haydock

DINO VELVET (11/2) has a touch of the night about him, but there are reasons for thinking he might get his head in front at Haydock (2.05pm).  All his best form through his career has come on decent ground in April or May, he is now finally below his last winning mark, his only run here was a very creditable effort in the Swinton Hurdle, and connections have finally gone for some headgear.

DEBECE can make amends for gamble-gone-astray in the Staying Chase Final (2.40pm). He went a bit hard at Sandown in what ended up really testing ground. On his hurdles exploits, a flat left-handed track should be perfect, and he’ll take a fair bit of stopping around here if he’s in the same mood as last time at 3/1.

KANSAS CITY CHIEF is a sporting selection each-way at 14/1 in the hurdling equivalent (3.15pm). He is now seven pounds lower than when finishing a fine sixth in last season’s Pertemps Final under today’s rider (who knows him well), and there was a bit of money around for him at odds in this year’s race (unseated rider), suggesting he had been primed to peak around this part of the season. He’s not a young horse, but he’s still got plenty of ability and has place claims at the very least.

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