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Nick Luck

Nick Luck’s blog: St Leger day and a big price fancy in the big one

2 years ago
| BY News Team

It’s St Leger day and everything looks set for a cracking day’s racing. On the other side of the Irish sea we’ll also be seeing a great renewal of the Irish Champion Stakes.

Nick Luck has run his eye over four races from Doncaster and the Irish Champion Stakes

BOUNDLESS POWER can win the decent race that he has been threatening to at 11/1 by landing the Portland on Saturday at Doncaster (1.45). He is admittedly a seat-of-the-pants customer who needs everything to drop just right, but this test and this intermediate trip should suit perfectly, while any further easing of the ground will not harm his chances. This horse needs riding with nerves of steel and I like the booking of Rossa Ryan, whose confidence must be sky high.

LUSAIL gets the narrowest of votes at 2/1 over Reach for the Moon in the Champagne Stakes (2.20). There is no doubt the royal runner is a class act, but the selection is a really hardy pro who might just have a shade more pace for this easy seven furlongs. He was going on very strongly at the end of the Gimcrack, has already proven that he stays this far and has a fabulous attitude. One slight reservation about Reach for the Moon is that he has raced quite freely in his races, and he may have to make his own running here.

DANYAH gets the nod at 11/4 in a rather uninspiring edition of the Park Stakes (3.00). He has had a pretty light career for a four-year-old, but is really getting the hang of it now, following up an excellent second at Royal Ascot with a very smart handicapping performance in the International at the same track. His pedigree and progressive profile suggest that he can do better still, but even a replica of the last run will see him prove hard to beat.

SCOPE seems to have been completely overlooked at 40/1 in the St Leger itself, but is certainly worth an each way interest (3.35). He posted a huge effort back from a long layoff in the Great Voltigeur and he could certainly improve past those that finished in front of him granted this longer trip and slightly easier ground suit. There really isn’t too much wrong with any of his form: he beat Mojo Star in his maiden and finished one place behind Adayar in the Derby Trial when losing a shoe and not really acting on the track. His pedigree and running style suggest he is perhaps open to the most improvement for this test of stamina and this is a Leger with 4 O’Brien trained cheekpieced runners that is sure to be a stern examination.

TARNAWA is taken at 5/2 to give weight and a beating to two really talented three-year-olds in the Irish Champion Stakes (2.45). It is nearly two years since this mare was beaten and she seems extraordinarily adaptable as regards conditions. Given the tempo of the race, her Breeders’ Cup Turf victory could actually be marked up quite significantly, and she appears to have had the perfect prep for this. By contrast St Mark’s Basilica has had an interrupted build up, while Poetic Flare is heading into uncharted territory trip-wise.

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