By Thomas Reynolds
Last Updated: 21st June 2018
Richard Hannon’s filly landed the Newmarket Classic as a 66/1 shot, but while it’s customary to quibble the worth of a race as future guide when won by betting rag, the subsequent exploits of the beaten horses keeping paying compliments to that effort on the Rowley Mile.
Billesdon Brook’s pre-Coronation-Stakes-form is working out very well
Laurens, second in the race, has since won two French Group 1s, while Happily, who was third, has subsequently bagged bronze in the Irish 1000 Guineas and fourth in the French Oaks.
Fourth at Newmarket, Wild Illusion was second in the Epsom Oaks on her next outing, while sixth Soliloquy was fourth in the Irish fillies’ mile Classic on her next run.
All the horses mentioned above that Billesdon Brook beat that day were priced between 11/4 and 7/1 suggests that her success didn’t come as a result of the best horses having an off day.
Do those shorter in the Coronation Stakes betting have better form than Billesdon Brook?
The Aidan O’Brien trained Clemmie heads the betting at 3/1, from surprise Irish 1000 Guineas heroine Alpha Centauri (3/1) and unbeaten French Guineas winner Teppal (5/1).
But do any have the right to be shorter in the Coronation Stakes betting than Richard Hannon’s filly?
Clemmie was ante-post favourite for the English 1000 Guineas before injury ruled her out, but after a sympathetically-ridden seasonal return when down the field in the Irish version, the fact that she has trained on well enough to win at Royal Ascot has to be taken on trust.
At the Curragh, Alpha Centauri beat Happily by a quarter-of-a-length more than she had finished behind Billesdon Brook at Newmarket, but is that telling enough for her to be two points shorter in the betting?
Teppal is undefeated and lightly-raced, but Wind Chimes, who finished a neck third behind her in the French Guineas, finished fourth in a Group 3 in her following race.
And yet somehow, with William Hill paying 1/5 of the odds on the place in the Coronation, it’s still possible to get more than your money back if you back Billesdon Brook each way?
Richard Hannon is on Billesdon Brook in the Coronation Stakes
Hannon himself has backed Billesdon Brook for the Coronation Stakes, the trainer revealed during At The Races’ recent stable tour, saying:
“She goes for the Coronation and is the form of her life. She won the 1000 Guineas very nicely and the form looks rock solid as the runner-up Laurens won a Group 1 in France next time out.
“I have backed her myself for the Coronation which will probably stop her but when I was offered 8-1 I couldn’t believe my luck.”