By Danny Carrington
Last Updated: 10th January 2020
As the dust settles on one of the busiest periods in the racing calendar, we are treated to some more great racing this weekend. The main action comes from Kempton and Warwick and we’ve taken a look at the big races on each card.
Notre Pari favourite for a reason
When going through big handicaps such as Saturday’s Lanzarote Hurdle at Kempton, one often tries to find a bit of value by taking on the favourite. However, in this instance the favourite might just be the way to go as Notre Pari looks sure to go well.
The Olly Murphy-trained six-year-old is very lightly raced having had just five runs in his life and he’s only won one of those. That was last time at Aintree, where the step up to 2m4f clearly brought about huge amounts of improvement and he was probably much better than the two-and-a-quarter length victory. He’s been raised eight pounds for that win meaning he’s now off a mark of 130, but that could really underestimate him and he could still be way ahead of the handicapper.
The gelding is still very unexposed in this sphere and Barry Geraghty’s mount should take all the beating at 3/1.
Kimberlite could be like taking Candy from a baby
Over at Warwick, there’s a great looking seven-race card with the Classic Handicap Chase the highlight. Again, it looks like those at the top of the market are the ones to be with, namely Kimberlite Candy at 5/1.
He took a bit of time to get the hang of it over fences, but showed progress with a strong finish of third at Sandown in February last year. He jumped deplorably on the first circuit in the Eider Chase on his next start but somehow managed to still be within a chance turning for home, a strong indication that this handicap mark is more than within his capabilities.
Ignore his run in the Irish National as he was never travelling and instead look to his excellent second in the Becher at Aintree last time. That performance over the big national fences at Aintree showed he’s a more than capable jumper, so providing he doesn’t fall back into his old habits, he’s got to be a big player over a trip that will surely suit.
Tedham looks the one in Pertemps Qualifier
Later on the Warwick card, Tedham should be backed at 5/1 in the Pertemps Qualifier. Given his current mark of 132, he probably needs to go up five or six pounds in order to qualify for the Final at Cheltenham. That can’t be said for his rivals who are much higher rated and are therefore already eligible to get in.
He showed his liking to this 3m trip when finishing strongly at Haydock last time and will be fresh for this having missed his intended run at Wincanton over Christmas. He’s still unexposed considering he has some really solid form behind some useful types, including Getaway Trump, and can take this on the way to being a real challenger at Cheltenham come March.