This weekend, the long-awaited trilogy between Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier finally arrives.
Their storied rivalry began back in 2012, when both fighters were still relatively unknown Holloway just 20 years old, Poirier 23. Since then, both have cemented themselves as legends of the sport, headlining pay-per-views and earning reputations as two of the most entertaining and durable fighters in UFC history.
On Saturday, July 19th (early hours of Sunday, July 20th for UK fans), they’ll meet for the third time at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, with the bout expected to start around 3am BST. This could be a career-defining moment for both men.
The fight headlines an action-packed card – check out the full UFC Calendar & Fight Nights (2025) on the William Hill Blog to stay up to date on all upcoming matchups.
Max Holloway – 4/6
Max Holloway makes his return to the lightweight division, the same weight class where he fell short against Poirier in their 2019 rematch. That loss ended a six-year unbeaten run for the Hawaiian, as he was outgunned by Poirier’s pressure and power in a tough unanimous decision defeat.
He also lost their first meeting back in 2012, but that was a much younger and less experienced Holloway. Fast forward over a decade, and he’s now regarded as one of the most technically gifted strikers in UFC history. Known for his relentless pace, slick boxing, and seemingly endless gas tank, Holloway is now better equipped physically and mentally for the challenge. With hunger on his side and something to prove, he’ll be out to make it third time lucky.
Dustin Poirier – 6/5
For Dustin Poirier, this will be his final walk to the Octagon. The fan-favourite has confirmed that this bout marks the end of his legendary career, no matter the outcome.
“The Diamond” has already etched his name into UFC history and holds two wins over Holloway, including their 2019 war for the interim lightweight title.
While recent fights have shown some signs of wear and tear, Poirier’s legacy is built on grit, heart, and elite-level skill. He still carries the power, precision, and fight IQ that have made him one of the most respected names in the sport. And there’s no doubt he’ll be looking to leave it all in the cage, ending his journey with one final statement.
Poirier’s average UFC fight time is 10 minutes and 17 seconds, meaning this clash could realistically reach the back end of Round 2 or early Round 3. For those backing the veteran to go out on top, Poirier to win in Round 3 at 11/1 could be a value-packed play.
Prediction
Our pick is Max Holloway at 4/6 to finally get his hand raised in this rivalry. With two losses to Poirier already, Holloway will be hungrier than ever, and his return to lightweight seems more calculated and focused this time around.
If you’re looking for a more rewarding option, Holloway to win by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission at 3/1 stands out. With his unmatched work rate and the emotional fire driving him, a stoppage feels well within reach. And for those chasing a bigger payout, Holloway to win in Round 3 by KO/TKO at 18/1 could be the sweet spot. Poirier, now 36 and possibly fighting for the final time, may fade under the pressure of Holloway’s tempo.
