Super Bowl
Super Bowl Player Props: Odds and Predictions
With Super Bowl LX just a few days away, the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots take each other on this year’s Championship final.
One of the most popular betting options across American Football and the NFL is player props, predicting how many of a certain stat a player will get in a particular match and the Super Bowl will be no different.
Let’s check out some of the best player prop bets for the big one on Sunday night.
Drake Maye Total Passing Attempts – Over 30.5 – 4/5
New England quarterback Drake Maye seems the best place to start. There’s no doubt that the best part of the Pats’ offence is their passing game, which could see them focus on Maye throwing the ball as opposed to a rushing game.
It’s most likely that they will stick to their strengths in a game of this magnitude, so it’s likely that the majority of their offence will go through Maye. Defensive matchups, potential scoreboard pressure, and limited ground success should all push volume upward naturally.
Over 30.5 passing attempts at 4/5 looks a fair price considering, and worth a bet.
Sam Darnold Longest Passing Completion – Over 35.5 – 17/20
From one quarterback to another, Sam Darnold has struck up a great partnership with one of the best wide receivers in the league in Jaxon Smith-Njigba. This bet has landed in 12 of the 19 games this season, and there’s no reason to believe that trend will be bucked with the aggressive passing game Darnold has shown in the post season.
Game script, matchup advantages, and Seattle’s reliance on quick throws should continue to funnel targets his way throughout.
17/20 looks a good price all things considered.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Total Receiving Yards – Over 94.5 – 17/20
In a similar vein of thinking, taking the over on Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s receiving yards makes appeal, with the form that he and Darnold have been in.
He clocked 153 receiving yards in the NFC Championship games and averaged over 100 in the regular season, so this line seems out. You’d be hard pressed to find a better receiver in the NFL this season, and he will be the go to guy for Seattle in the big one.
Over 94.5 receiving yards at 17/20 looks more than fair for a bet, with over 6.5 total receptions at 7/10 also looking good value.
Given matchup dynamics, expected game script, and Seattle’s pass-heavy tendencies, volume and efficiency should again combine to beat these lines comfortably.
Drake Maye Anytime Touchdown Scorer – 12/5
A touchdown scorer in the AFC Championship, it may be worth backing quarterback Drake Maye to repeat the feat in Super Bowl LX. He notched four scores in the main season and looks decent value to score one in the biggest game of all, especially given his mobility, red-zone usage, and confidence under pressure. With defensive attention likely stretched, scrambling opportunities and designed plays could easily see him cross the line again.
