Will these key political figures get re-elected?

The extent to which the Conservatives have regressed since their majority victory in 2019 will all be revealed following Thursday’s general election.

Not only is a crushing defeat imminent, but some of their senior MPs find themselves in danger of inexplicitly losing their seats.

We assess some of the Tory figures in danger below.

Iain Duncan Smith – Chingford & Woodford Green

Former Conservative leader Iain Duncan Smith has seen his majority in the north-east London constituency of Chingford and Woodford Green erode over the past few general elections, only just holding onto his seat in 2019 by roughly 1000 votes.

There has been some drama in this seat since Rishi Sunak called the snap election, with previous Labour candidate Faiza Shaheen removed from the party and running as an independent candidate. Labour however remain 4/11 favourites to steal the seat from Smith, whose luck appears to be out with odds of 11/4.

Grant Shapps – Welwyn Hatfield

Defence Secretary Grant Shapps has proved his versatility over the past five years by taking on a vast number of roles in the Cabinet, but his work doesn’t seem to have paid off with voters in his Welwyn Hatfield seat – a constituency he secured a majority of over 10,000 in in the 2019 election.

Shapps seems to be in almighty trouble and trades at 11/2 to be re-elected this week, with Labour the firm frontrunners at 1/10 to continue their charge in suburban UK areas.

Penny Mordaunt – Portsmouth North

Leader of the House of Commons Penny Mordaunt has long been considered a likely successor to Rishi Sunak when the current Tory leader steps down, but it seems she has some problems closer to home to worry about first before mounting a leadership challenge in the future.

Labour are odds-on at 2/5 to snap up the Portsmouth North seat for the first time since Tony Blair’s reign, with Mordaunt’s odds of 7/4 suggesting she is very much up against it ahead of Thursday’s vote.

Jeremy Hunt – Godalming & Ash

Arguably the biggest scare for individual Tories for this election will be Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, who appears to be staring down the barrel of a humiliating defeat to the Liberal Democrats in his Surrey seat of Godalming and Ash.

Hunt is a firm 10/3 outsider to win the constituency and risks becoming the first ever serving Chancellor to be unseated, with the Lib Dems way out in front in the betting at 1/5 to create history on election night.

Gavin Williamson – Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge

Former Education Secretary Gavin Williamson has certainly experienced his fair share of controversy since being awarded the role in Boris Johnson’s cabinet in 2019. He appears to have struggled to amass support in the new seat of Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge since resigning from his role of Minister of State Without Portfolio in 2022.

At 1/3, he remains the favourite to win the Staffordshire seat, but will face fierce competition from Labour (9/4) to hold onto his narrow lead in the polls.