Premier League Predictions & News
Premier League Outrights After Matchday 16
Sixteen games into the 2025/26 Premier League campaign, the outright market is starting to form around a familiar heavyweight at the top, with a chasing pack trying to keep the title race alive. Arsenal and Manchester City have separated themselves from the rest, while the traditional giants behind them are left needing a serious surge to get back into contention.
Arsenal – 4/6
Arsenal sit as odds-on favourites at 4/6, reflecting both their strong start and growing belief that this could finally be their season. Mikel Arteta’s side have combined defensive solidity with attacking fluency, and crucially, they have shown an ability to grind out wins in tight contests that might have escaped them in previous campaigns. With a balanced squad, proven match-winners and momentum behind them after 16 matchdays, the market now views Arsenal as the most likely side to go the distance.
Manchester City – 13/8
Manchester City may be second in the betting at 13/8, but no one in the outright market is prepared to completely rule them out. Pep Guardiola’s team have not always been at their best this season, with occasional slip-ups allowing Arsenal to edge ahead in the odds. However, City’s track record of putting together long winning runs in the second half of a season, along with their depth and experience in title races, means they remain a very live danger to the current favourites.
Liverpool – 25/1
Liverpool sit further back at 25/1, which shows both the size of the task they face and the inconsistency that has held them back so far. There have been flashes of the high-tempo, relentless football that took them to titles and European finals, but dropped points against sides they would expect to beat have left them with ground to make up. While Arne Slot and his side have appeared to turn a corner of their poor form, they’re going to need a near-perfect run-in and slip-ups from both Arsenal and City to re-enter the title conversation.
Aston Villa and Chelsea – 28/1
Aston Villa and Chelsea are each priced at 28/1, holding that middle ground between outside hope and long shot. Villa continue to impress with their attacking patterns and strong form, yet doubts remain about whether they can maintain that intensity over a full campaign against the division’s elite. Chelsea, meanwhile, are still a work in progress; impressive performances are too often followed by frustrating results, and until they find greater consistency, the market is likely to keep them at arm’s length from the true title contenders.
Manchester United – 80/1
Manchester United round out the group at 80/1, a price that reflects how far they have slipped from the peak of the outright market in recent seasons. Inconsistency, defensive issues and an inability to control games against both top and bottom-half sides have left them looking more like top-four hopefuls than genuine title threats. For those inclined to take a speculative view, the number is big, but it would require a dramatic transformation in performances and results for United to turn those odds into anything more than a distant dream.
