Rugby Union
Nations Championship Round 4 Predictions: England tipped to wreck Wallabies at Twickenham
William Hill News bring predictions and betting tips for Round 4 of the Nations Championship, which features England vs Australia at Twickenham on Sunday.
The Nations Championship heads north this weekend as the Southern Hemisphere sides begin their November tour. South Africa and New Zealand are both unbeaten after July, while the northern table is bunched. Here are our predictions for all six Round 4 fixtures.
Friday 6 November
Ireland vs Argentina – 8:10pm
Ireland won two of their three July games, including a 33-31 win in Australia, before losing 40-21 to New Zealand at Eden Park. Back at the Aviva, they should have too much for an Argentina side that lost 31-24 to England in Santiago del Estero. Argentina will be physical, but Ireland’s set piece and home advantage should give them the edge over Los Pumas.
Our prediction: Ireland -10 Handicap Betting – 10/11
Saturday 7 November
Italy vs South Africa – 11:40am
Italy have no points from three games and have conceded 131, meanwhile the Springboks have won all three and lead the southern table on 15 points. However, Italy have caused some upsets in recent history, especially at the Stadio Olympico. With little to no value in backing the Spring Boks, it’s worth chancing Italy to put out a seasonal best performance at home. They may not win, but the margin could be far less than expected.
Our prediction: Italy +25 Handicap Betting – EVS
Scotland vs New Zealand – 2:10pm
Scotland have never beaten the All Blacks, though last year’s 25-24 defeat was desperately close. Gregor Townsend’s side scored 108 points in July and will back their attack at Murrayfield. New Zealand have won all three of their games, and their finishing is the difference.
Our prediction: New Zealand -11 Handicap Betting – 10/11
Wales vs Japan – 4:40pm
Both sides have one win from three. Wales have a points difference of -42 and need a result badly. Japan are dangerous in broken play, but Cardiff is a tough place to start a European tour.
Our prediction: Wales -16 Handicap Betting – 10/11
France vs Fiji – 8:10pm
France top the northern table on 12 points and have 16 tries to their name. Fiji have lost all three games and conceded 22 tries. Les Bleus have South Africa in Round 5, so expect them to make this count early.
Our prediction: France -12 Handicap Betting – 10/11
Sunday 8 November
England vs Australia – 3:10pm
England lost away to South Africa in July but still scored 125 points across their three games, the most in the northern pool. The scrum-half position is a concern, with Alex Mitchell and Archie McParland both ruled out. Australia won 42-37 at Twickenham in 2024 and shouldn’t be underestimated. The Wallabies are leaky at the back, though, and England’s pack can dominate.
Our prediction: England -9 Handicap Betting – 10/11
*Prices accurate at the time of writing – odds subject to change*
