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Eurovision Final Predictions: Can anyone stop Finland?
The Eurovision Final is nearly here, and if the betting is any guide, William Hill News predict 2026 could be one of the more straightforward results in recent memory.
The leading bookmaker’s outright market has a clear favourite at the top, a small chasing pack… and the UK lurking a long way down the list at triple‑figure odds.
Finland out in front
Finland arrive in the grand final as the bookmakers’ team to beat.
William Hill make them 5/6 to lift the trophy, the only country trading at odds‑on going into Saturday night. That price reflects a package that seems to tick every Eurovision box: a hooky, instantly memorable song, a staging concept that jumps off the screen, and strong semi‑final momentum that’s already caught the eye of both juries and televoters.
Odds‑on in a field of more than twenty entries is always a statement. It suggests that if Finland simply deliver what they’ve already shown in rehearsals and the semi, they’re more likely to win than not – and that everyone else needs either a big leap on the night or a Finnish slip‑up.
Australia leading the challengers
If there is to be an upset, Australia are rated the most likely party‑poopers. They sit second in Hills’ book at 7/2, the only other country priced shorter than double figures.
Their song has been described in the build‑up as one of the more polished entries of the year, with a big vocal and a staging that plays well to juries without alienating televoters.
At those odds, the market effectively frames Eurovision 2026 as a two‑horse race: Finland as the justified favourite, Australia as the main danger if voting patterns tilt more towards jury‑friendly and away from full‑on televote chaos.
The each‑way pack: Israel, Greece, Romania, Denmark
Behind the front two sits a cluster of entries who look more like each‑way or “top‑four” plays than likely winners, but Eurovision has produced enough shocks down the years to keep them interesting.
- Israel – 10/1
Israel round out the podium in Hills’ market at 10/1. The preview notes a modern, contest‑ready production with enough drama to stand out in a crowded field, which should keep them firmly in the conversation for a podium finish if the performance lands.
- Greece – 11/1
Greece are just behind at 11/1 and look like another classic dark horse: strong vocalist, distinctive staging and the kind of Mediterranean entry that can quietly hoover up mid‑table jury scores before spiking with diaspora televotes.
- Romania – 14/1
Romania at 14/1 sit a little further back but still inside the plausible‑winner bracket. This is one that could outperform its price with juries if the live vocal hits, making them a popular each‑way pick rather than a headline win selection.
- Denmark – 20/1
Denmark complete the top group at 20/1 and feel like the classic Eurovision ‘solid but maybe not spectacular’ entry: competent song, slick staging, but perhaps lacking the killer moment to truly threaten Finland and Australia unless the top two both underwhelm.
What about the UK?
For home viewers, the obvious question is where the UK fits into all this.
The short answer, according to the odds, is very much an outsider: the UK is available at 125/1 to win the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest.
That price places the British entry well down the pecking order and suggests the bookmaker sees a top‑half finish as a more realistic ceiling than a genuine tilt at the trophy.
