By William Hill
18th June 2018
If England progress to the round of 16, they will face the winner or runner-up of World Cup 2018 Group H, which contains Poland, Senegal, Colombia and Japan.
On the surface, it looks difficult to predict as none of the sides are in the top 10 of the World Cup 2018 betting. We’ve had a peep at the stats to give punters an inkling of what’s to come.
Poland and Senegal to draw 2-2 – 16/1
In Poland’s last 28 matches they’ve netted an average of exactly two per game. Expect goals to come the way of Robert Lewandowski, who set a European record of 16 goals in a single World Cup qualifying campaign, netting in nine out of 10 matches en route to Russia.
The Bayern Munich marksman has five goals in as many games for club and country – scoring three in Poland’s last two warm-up friendlies.
The case for Senegal to bag two in their first World Cup 2018 Group H encounter is that they’ve scored 26 goals in 34 matches away from home or on neutral venues, netting exactly twice in half of them.
Senegal were unbeaten in qualifying, scoring twice in each of the final four, and they’ll be encouraged by Poland’s leaky defence – the white and reds conceded 14 goals in qualifying, more than any other European side at the World Cup.
Radamel Falcao to score first and Colombia to beat Japan 2-0 – 20/1
The South Americans are the 5/4 favourites to win World Cup 2018 Group H. We wouldn’t be surprised if they did so by taking victory in all three games.
Jose Pekerman’s side have kept two clean sheets in a row, shutting out three of their last four opponents. They conceded twice against France in March but won the game 3-2.
The Tricolors are bidding to make it five games unbeaten in their World Cup 2018 Group H opener while Radamel Falcao will be looking to heal the horror of 2014 when he missed the World Cup in Brazil through injury.
When Colombia are in a winning mood, they’re excellent at the back. Seven of their last eight triumphs came without conceding.
If the Monaco striker, who scored 24 in 36 games last season, puts them in front, there will be no coming back for Japan – who haven’t beaten the Colombians in three previous attempts.