By William Hill
Last Updated: 5th June 2020
Mexico vs Sweden, World Cup Group F
Wednesday 27th June
Kick-off: 3:00pm BST
Stadium: Central Stadium, Yekaterinburg
Live on BBC2
Mexico vs Sweden – who needs what to qualify?
Juan Carlos Osorio’s men are currently top of World Cup Group F and a draw will see them qualify as winners, yet they could also fail to qualify for the knockout rounds if they lose to Sweden by two goals and Germany best South Korea.
If they Germans win, then Sweden need to triumph by at least a two-goal margin to ensure they progress. If both draw, it will come down to which team has scored more goals (both currently have two) and if that’s equal then Joachim Low’s men go through, having beaten the Bla-gult last time out.
The current table toppers are odds on to win the group at 1/3, with Germany 7/2 and Sweden 5/1.
Mexico vs Sweden odds
Mexico vs Sweden team news
Juan Carlos Osorio has named an unchanged side. Both Marco Fabian and Jesus Corona tipped to get game time from the bench.
Hectors Herrera and Moreno are both one yellow card away from suspension as are Blagult’s Sebastian Larsson, Viktor Claesson and Albin Ekdal.
The Swedish side his El Tri outfit face are the same one that came so close to taking a point off Germany last time out.
Mexico vs Sweden line-ups
Mexico, 4-2-3-1: GK Ochoa, RB Alvarez, CB Salcedo, CB Moreno, LB Gallardo, CM Herrera, CM Guardardo, AML Lozano, AMC Vela, AMR Layun, ST Hernandez.
Sweden 4-4-2: GK Robin Olsen; RB Mikael Lustig, CB Victor Lindelöf, CB Andreas Granqvist, LB Ludwig Augustinsson; RM Viktor Claesson, CM Sebastian Larsson, CM Albin Ekdal, LM Emil Forsberg; ST Marcus Berg, ST Ola Toivonen.
Mexico vs Sweden match stats
Mexico have never won three matches in a row at a World Cup and they will be become the first CONCACAF team to achieve the feat in World Cup history if they manage it.
However, they’re up against a side steeped in group stage pragmatism. Sweden’s loss last time out was their first in the World Cup group stage since 1990.
Meanwhile, its unlikely Sweden will need the universally understood ‘calm down’ managerial hand signal from Janne Andersson should they take the lead in Yekaterinburg.
They’ve won only four of the last 13 World Cup games in which they’ve opened the scoring (D5 L4).
Mexico vs Sweden key players to watch
Javier Hernandez’s goal in Mexico’s 2-0 win over South Korea was his fourth at the World Cup, equaling the national record set by Luis Hernadez. Chicarito is the first goalscorer betting favourite for the match at odds of 9/2.
Sweden’s Ola Toivonen failed to score in 23 outings for Toulouse in Ligue 1 last term, missing with all 19 of his shots. At the 2018 World Cup, he’s notched once from just two attempts. Toivonen is 5/1 to score as part of a victory for his side.