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Eurovision 2026 Latest Odds: Finland Favourites to Win in Vienna
The Eurovision 2026 markets are starting to harden, and William Hill News report a clear shape is emerging across the four main betting categories.
Here’s how things currently stand.
Outright winner: Finland (6/4) clear, France (6/1) and Denmark (7/1) chasing
In the outright market, Finland have pulled away as the clear favourite at 6/4 with William Hill. That price implies roughly a 40% chance of victory and reflects how strongly bettors rate “Liekinheitin” as a complete package.
Behind them, France and Denmark are locked together at 6/1 and 7/1, joined by Australia (7/1). France’s “Regarde!” has become the default jury-friendly contender, while Denmark’s recent surge – cut dramatically from bigger early numbers – underlines just how well their national final performance landed with the market.
Australia sit at 7/1 and remain a respected danger, especially given Delta Goodrem’s profile and live pedigree.
Top 10 finish: short prices for the big six
The Top10 market is where confidence in the leading entries really shows. Finland are an almost unbackable 1/10 to place inside the top 10, reflecting a near certainty in traders’ eyes that they will be in the mix on the lefthand side of the scoreboard.
Israel and Denmark are also trading at very short odds – 1/5 and 2/9 respectively – while Australia are 1/4 and both Greece and France sit at 2/7 and 3/10 for a Top10 finish. That cluster suggests a market consensus: six songs (Finland, Israel, Denmark, France, Australia and Greece) are viewed as a tier above the rest in terms of reliability, with everybody else fighting for the final four places.
For punters, it means value may lie a little further down the board in the mid-priced nations who have a realistic shot of sneaking into 8th–10th once rehearsals start.
Jury vote winner: Australia (6/4) and France (9/4) lead the way
Switch to the Juryvote market and the picture tilts. Here, William Hill have Australia as joint-favourite at 6/4, narrowly ahead of France at 9/4 and Finland at 9/2. That mirrors the wider odds landscape, where Australia’s polished ballad and Delta Goodrem’s vocal reputation have them marginally preferred by traders as the most likely to top the professional juries.
Denmark, out at 7/1, look like the leading value pick for those who buy into the idea that juries could reward a more classic, composed performance, while Czechia sit at 9/1 as an intriguing dark horse with a more niche, jury-bait sound.
Sweden are a much bigger price still (28/1), but some analysts argue the market is underestimating their capacity to over-perform with juries once full staging is unveiled.
Televote winner: Israel’s moment (6/4), Greece (7/2) and Finland (4/1) lurking
Finally, the Televote winner market tells its own story. William Hill rate Israel as favourite at 6/4 to win the public vote, ahead of Greece at 7/2, Finland at 4/1 and longer-priced runners like Romania, Moldova and Ukraine in the mid-teens. That lines up with broader books, where Israel’s entry is seen as the most viral, hookheavy package with genuine “phone in” power, even if juries may not be quite as generous.
Greece sit second in the tele market and have been steadily shortening as live performances circulate, while Finland’s 4/1 suggests traders expect them to score heavily with both halves of the vote rather than relying on one or the other.
The likes of Romania, Moldova and Ukraine are priced between 14/1 and 16/1, hinting at potential cult-favourite storylines that could explode if they nail their staging in Vienna.
Right now, the markets are essentially telling one story: Finland are the song to beat overall, Australia and France are best placed to top the juries, and Israel are the public’s early darling – with Denmark, Greece and a handful of outsiders waiting to pounce if any of the big three stumble.
