By William Hill
31st October 2018
Aston Villa and Bolton both slump into their Friday night face-off frowning from misery-mongering 1-0 losses, but while the Villans’ blank remains a rarity, the Trotters’ scoring stresses are more endemic.
Aston Villa vs Bolton: Odds and Predictions
The Villa were our Friday fall guys against QPR in last week’s betting tips, but they’re trading at just 42/100 for victory in the match betting.
Such slender fractions are very understandable, with the Trotters winless in five games and in search of only their second success in 12 Championship outings.
Phil Parkinson’s men are projected at odds of 13/2 for three points at Villa Park, with the draw considered similarly unrealistic as an 18/5 pick.
The Whites’ woeful recent form mean our Aston Villa vs Bolton predictions are all about finding a decent value way to be with Dean Smith’s men securing their second successive home win under his stewardship.
Aston Villa vs Bolton head-to-head (most recent first): Bolton 1-0 Aston Villa, Aston Villa 1-0 Bolton, Aston Villa 1-2 Bolton, Bolton 1-2 Aston Villa, Aston Villa 0-2 Bolton, Bolton 3-2 Aston Villa.
Aston Villa vs Bolton predictions: correct score, best bet, scorer tips
Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 1-0 Bolton, tipped @ 5/1
Villa’s pre-Smith defensive woes have yet to be eradicated under the former Brentford boss, but they’ve already managed to shut out Swansea in the second city under his auspices.
The Swans are hardly the Guns of Navarone, but they’ve still notched six more times this term than the Villans’ latest visitors, who are the joint-lowest scorers in the Championship.
With goals so hard to come by for the Josh Magennis-led Whites, they’ve had to be fairly defensively sound on their travels to have only lost twice in seven league road games to date. Only five teams have a better away-goals-against total.
However, the hosts have yet to draw a blank on home turf in 2018/19 and haven’t been shut out at Villa Park in regular-season Championship outings for 19 games, making the first of our Aston Villa vs Bolton predictions and betting tips a narrow home win.
Woeful Wanderers have now mustered a solitary Christian Doidge strike across their last five games and only two goals in their past eight matches.
That’s few enough to suspect even Villa’s overly-generous rearguard can deny them succour and, having lost four of their past five to nil, the best of our match picks is that the hosts’ next win arrives in the same manner as their last three.
Despite Smith bemoaning elementary defensive mistakes since his arrival, his charges have won two of their last four outings in their own backyard to nil.
Goalscorer predictions: James Chester to score first, tipped at odd of 22/1
The last Villa man to find the net is also predicted to be the next and the odds about the former Hull man bagging again are particularly generous given he represents the Championships’ joint-top scorers from set pieces in 2018/19.
Smith’s men have notched a naughty nine strikes from dead-ball-linked situations already this term, making the corners and free kicks cavalry especially good value in what should be a tight encounter.
Another Villan primed to strike at a savoury price is 11/1 first scorer pick in our Aston Villa vs Bolton predictions is former Hibernian midfielder John McGinn.
Only three Holte End heroes average more shots on goal in the Championship this season and we’re wagering that he’s likely to be on free-kick duty too.
Aston Villa vs Bolton stats: Opta
- Bolton have failed to score in six of their past eight games.
- All three of Villa’s games under new boss Smith have been decided by a single goal.
- Six of the Villans’ last seven strikes were netted in the first half.