By Thomas Strong
Last Updated: 30th August 2018
The 4pm kick-off this Sunday sees Manchester United travel to their north-west neighbours Burnley. Here are three of our best Premier League bets for the Turf Moor tussle:
Free Premier League tips: Burnley vs Man Utd
Burnley’s highest-scoring half to be the first half at 10/3.
Jeff Hendrick to score in the 90 minutes at 4/1.
Burnley vs Man Utd odds: The Red Devils odds-on despite recent form
The last time Manchester Utd lost three Premier League matches in a row came when Louis van Gaal delivered an unwanted Christmas gift in 2015 of defeats to Bournemouth, Norwich and Stoke.
Jose Mourinho is on track for a repeat following reverses to Brighton and Tottenham. Burnley are 9/2 to complete the hat-trick and in the process achieve their first top-flight success of the season.
Furthermore, they begin the weekend in the relegation zone and on three of the last four instances that this has occurred, they’ve responded with a victory.
The Burnley vs Man Utd odds have the Red Devils betting at 8/13 to triumph over the Clarets, with the draw priced up at 14/5.
For more advice, tips and guides got betting on this weekend’s Premier League action, visit our football accumulator article.
Burnley vs Man Utd prediction: Bet on goals and expect them early
The obvious call at Turf Moor is that goals will be in short supply. After all, Mourinho has a reputation as a defence-minded manager and the average Burnley game last season averaged only 1.97 goals, which was the lowest in the Premier League.
However, performances so far this campaign have gone against the grain. Sean Dyche’s men have conceded 14 times in their last five league outings, having let in only 13 across the 14 prior to that.
Meanwhile, all of Man Utd’s three top-flight fixtures so far have witnessed a minimum of three goals scored. Our Burnley vs Man Utd odds have the Over 2.5 goals market available, and betting at a tempting 6/5.
Not only are goals expected, but this may not be a game to arrive late to. Four goals have already arrived in the first 10 minutes of Burnley league matches this season. No other team has been involved in games with more than two. As a result, 23/10 is a big price on a goal being netted in the first 15 minutes.
Another big price is the 10/3 on Burnley’s highest-scoring half being the opening 45 minutes. After all, they are still to score after the half-time oranges.
In terms of who may score in the Burnley vs Man Utd odds, Jeff Hendrick may be most overpriced, and is our pick, tipping at 4/1. He has started five on the bounce in all competitions and leads the way for Burnley in numerous attacking Premier League statistics, including shots in the box and penalty area touches.
In fact, his numbers are virtually identical to Romelu Lukaku, who has had one more goal attempt and one more effort on target, but one fewer penalty-box touch. Yet Lukaku is priced at 5/4 odds for anytime scorer.
Score prediction: Burnley 2-3 Manchester United @ 33/1
Best Bet: The first goal of the match to be scored in the opening 15 minutes @ 23/10
Burnley vs Man Utd: Opta Stats
- Manchester United have lost two of their first three league matches of a season for the first time since 1992/93 (P3 W0 D1 L2) – they haven’t lost three of their first four league matches in a season since 1986/87, when they were managed by Ron Atkinson.
- Burnley have collected just nine home points in the Premier League in 2018 (P10 W2 D3 L5) – only Huddersfield (8) and Southampton (7) have won fewer among clubs ever-present this calendar year.
- This is the first time United will be going into a Premier League match with a negative goal difference since September 2014, when they beat QPR 4-0 following a 0-0 draw away at Burnley in the previous match.
- The Clarets are still yet to make a change to their starting XI in the Premier League this season, while the Red Devils have made more changes than any other side (9).