By Maryam Naz
22nd November 2018
Rafa Benitez’ Newcastle United will face Burnley at the Turf Moor Stadium as a part of Sky Sport’s Monday Night Football coverage. The away side earned their second victory of the season in last week’s tie against Bournemouth, but do not look favourable to clinch extend this streak this Monday.
Burnley vs Newcastle: odds and predictions
The Clarets are 9/5 favourites in our Burnley vs Newcastle predictions and betting tips, with the away side wagering as 17/10 outsiders and a potential draw trading at 21/10.
The odds have not been in Newcastle’s favour this season. They failed to win their first ten games of the season, despite claiming back-to-back wins in their latest games. Their mini-resurgence may be halted by Sean Dyche’s team whom Newcastle have not won against at top-flight level since December 1975.
Leading the charge for Burnley is Ashley Barnes and Sam Vokes; both men have been in amongst the goals, but against a side managed by the wily tactician that is Benitez, Vokes’s physical strength may come in handy.
The 29-year-old is betting at a 5/1 pick to score first, but there is every chance that Barnes may beat him to it.
This does not bode well for a Newcastle side that has conceded 15 goals in 12 games with only nine goals to their name. If they are to take anything away from this game, their attacking players will need to be operating at peak efficiency, chiefly in Solomon Rondon.
The Venezuelan striker scored his first Premier League goals for Newcastle in their 2-1 win against Bournemouth last time out and with the odds set at an 11/2 forecast for him to score again in our goalscoring betting tips, there is a strong chance he’ll repeat his successes.
Burnley vs Newcastle head-to-head: (most recent first) Burnley 1-1 Newcastle, Burnley 1-0 Newcastle, Burnley 3-3 Newcastle, Burnley 1-1 Newcastle, Burnley 0-1 Newcastle.
Burnley vs Newcastle predictions: score, best bet, scorer tips
Predicted score: Burnley to win 2-0, trading @ 11/1
Dyche’s men have been one of the most inconsistent sides of this season, alternating between victory and defeat in their last seven Premier League games.
This means they are projected to win against the Magpies this Monday after losing against Liverpool prior to the international break and spearhead our Burnley vs Newcastle predictions.
With a compact defensive unit, the Claret’s conservative style of defending encourages a counterattacking style of play, and we’re wagering that they’ll sit back and hit Newcastle on the counter to emerge as 2-0 winners.
This fixture has not been a goal-fest in the past, and given that Newcastle’s Premier League games this season have seen the fewest total goals (24), we’re projecting the trend to continue in our Burnley vs Newcastle betting tips.
Under 2.5 total match goals is the latest pick in the build-up to this Monday’s game, and could be the most innocuous bet of the tie.
The home side are averaging a goal a game, with their opponents not doing any better, yet up against a defensively unstable Newcastle team, the odds will surely work in Burnley’s favour.
Scorer tips: Chris Wood to score first, tipped @ 11/2
Despite only bagging the solitary goal this season, Chris Wood is still priced at an 11/2 favourite to score first and brings up the rear of our Burnley vs Newcastle predictions.
Wood has been a nuisance during corners and set-plays, which will work in Burnley’s favour, considering that they like to play with their full-backs pushing high up the pitch and exploiting every inch of width possible.
So far, the New Zealand international has only scored one headed goal, but we’re forecasting him to add to this against Newcastle, with the odds trading at 11/2.
Burnley vs Newcastle stats: Opta
- The home side has opened the scoring in all four Premier League meetings between Burnley and Newcastle, but have only gone on to win once (W1 D3 L0) – Burnley winning 1-0 in this exact fixture last season.
- Newcastle’s last 12 Premier League games played on a Monday have all been away from home – the Magpies have lost 11 of these, winning only at Stoke in January.
- Burnley have won just one of their last eight Premier League home games (D2 L5), beating Bournemouth 4-0 in September.
- Newcastle have won both of their last two Premier League games, having failed to win any of their first 10 this season.
Maryam is a female football writer, who grew up playing a wide variety of sport. She slowly became converted as a lover of football around the age of 10, and her interest in it drove her to pursue it not only physically, but also academically. In her first year of college she cemented a placement at the Independent, whom she worked for before branching out to Premier League-accredited sites like the female-led 'Offside Rule' blog and RealSport. She studied English at University alongside this, and is now a digital copy-writer and editor, specialising in sports journalism.